NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	9.1 [130]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +17.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	29.7 [81]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -39.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	10	62%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
James Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.23	-0.00	-0.22	0.01	18	53%	0.09	3	-0.32	2	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.39	-0.17	-0.23	-0.01	20	27%	-0.31	1	-0.08	9	33%	-0.28

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.27,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.10	-0.01	13	61%	0.34	10	-0.33	7	71%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	13	61%	0.08	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.07
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	8	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	19%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	33.4	16.4	28.4	2.4	41.5	147.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +4.3%

OKC +23.0%

OKC +17.5%

OKC +3.0%

OKC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.4	14.9	94.1	96.1	105.1
season	13.9	14.4		104.8	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.6		104.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	12.5	13.2	15.2	13.9
OKC	15.5	14.2	14.5	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	58	56	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.11	4	-7	11	13.9	14.0	-0.14	13.4	15.7	-2.22
James Anderson	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	13.8	14.0	-0.20	11.6	15.3	-3.67
Darren Collison	71	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.39	9	-12	21	13.4	15.3	-1.98	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Ben McLemore	40	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	5	-13	14.0	13.9	0.10	15.9	13.4	2.50
Rajon Rondo	71	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	14.2	13.4	0.77	15.1	12.8	2.27
Omri Casspi	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	5	-13	14.6	13.2	1.37	15.1	13.6	1.53
Rudy Gay	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	0	-3	13.6	14.9	-1.23	14.6	13.8	0.89
Kosta Koufos	32	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	0	-3	14.6	13.6	0.96	14.7	14.3	0.46
DeMarcus Cousins	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	4	-11	13.9	14.0	-0.13	14.3	14.7	-0.36

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	39	39	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.55	10	-7	17	13.9	14.8	-0.86	15.4	13.0	2.39
Steven Adams	59	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-11	25	15.1	13.5	1.67	14.5	13.1	1.39
Russell Westbrook	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-10	23	14.9	12.8	2.11	14.1	13.3	0.80
Kevin Durant	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	14.6	13.8	0.72	13.8	14.5	-0.76
Dion Waiters	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	7	-11	13.7	15.4	-1.75	13.6	14.4	-0.84
Andre Roberson	63	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-9	21	15.3	13.0	2.36	14.3	13.4	0.85
Anthony Morrow	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	15.5	14.1	1.30	14.3	13.8	0.50
Cameron Payne	10	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	10.5	14.9	-4.36	13.1	14.0	-0.95
D.J. Augustin	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	13	-23	12.8	14.9	-2.11	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Enes Kanter	44	43	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	14	-25	13.5	15.1	-1.60	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Kyle Singler	30	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	14	-25	14.8	14.3	0.52	12.5	14.6	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.6,0.39,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 77, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.28,1	89.4%
BOS 103, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	88.6%
CLE 107, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.42,1	88.3%