NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	10.1 [67]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +56.7%
Brooklyn Nets	112		Comeback	3.4 [218]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -23.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.26,0.42	0.12	0.28	-0.02	14	73%	0.46	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	11	64%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	20	60%	0.19	8	-0.24	8	50%	-0.25
Kevin Love	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.12,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	13	47%	-0.02	6	-0.16	6	83%	-0.03
JR Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	9	11%	-0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.57	0.57	0.12	0.43	-0.01	13	73%	0.66	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	14	61%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.01	12	59%	0.23	4	-0.14	8	87%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.11
Caris LeVert	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	14	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.2	30.8	14.8	26.2	1.6	46.2	146.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +46.9%

CLE -5.0%

BKN +10.9%

BKN +0.4%

CLE -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	14.7	101.9	109.8	107.5
season	14.8	14.7		111.2	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		109.4	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	13.2	16.6	13.3	13.9
BKN	12.7	14.0	14.7	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	37	38	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-11	17	14.5	13.6	0.93	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Tristan Thompson	53	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	6	-17	13.4	14.5	-1.12	12.7	15.1	-2.37
Jose Calderon	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	14.9	13.5	1.40	13.9	13.9	-0.07
Jae Crowder	48	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	4	-13	13.8	14.0	-0.26	13.5	14.2	-0.76
Jeff Green	57	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-10	15	14.1	13.7	0.46	14.9	12.8	2.04
Channing Frye	9	9	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	1	-7	17.3	13.6	3.74	13.4	14.0	-0.51
Kyle Korver	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-11	17	14.2	13.4	0.78	14.4	13.1	1.33
LeBron James	90	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.9	-1.19	14.2	11.9	2.38
JR Smith	65	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	3	-11	13.2	15.1	-1.96	14.0	13.8	0.25
Kevin Love	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	13.7	14.3	-0.62	13.6	14.8	-1.21

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	27	28	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-7	19	13.8	13.9	-0.13	15.4	13.4	1.97
Allen Crabbe	52	52	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-10	25	13.6	14.3	-0.72	13.6	14.2	-0.63
Spencer Dinwiddie	70	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	13.6	14.5	-0.86	13.2	15.5	-2.25
Trevor Booker	40	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-7	19	14.1	13.8	0.27	14.4	13.6	0.78
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	76	78	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	3	-1	13.8	14.3	-0.48	13.2	15.9	-2.61
DeMarre Carroll	70	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	5	-5	14.0	13.7	0.28	12.8	16.5	-3.76
Joe Harris	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	0	5	14.1	13.8	0.22	16.2	12.7	3.55
Caris LeVert	63	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	8	-11	13.9	13.9	-0.02	14.4	13.1	1.33
Timofey Mozgov	27	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	14	-23	14.5	13.7	0.77	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Sean Kilpatrick	19	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	15	-25	15.9	13.5	2.44	15.6	13.5	2.14
Jarrett Allen	31	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.16	-7	12	-19	13.2	14.2	-0.99	14.7	13.6	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	91.1%
ATL 106, LAL 107	0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.39,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.42,1	90.4%
CHI 93, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.1%