NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	108		Excitement	8.6 [195]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +35.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	7.6 [197]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -26.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36	0.15	0.19	-0.02	14	65%	0.36	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	9	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	33%	-0.08
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	48%	0.06	3	-0.09	9	44%	-0.09
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.02	10	48%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	12	38%	-0.09	7	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	5	72%	0.22	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	4	111%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.09	0.01	9	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12	-0.12	0.05	-0.12	0.05	13	64%	0.07	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	8	61%	0.09	5	-0.22	7	57%	-0.04
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	33.3	15.3	25.7	2.4	38.3	142.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -7.2%

DEN +9.3%

DEN +24.2%

DEN +24.3%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.9	105.9	106.1	105.1
season	14.9	14.8		104.3	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.4	13.8	14.0	13.6	14.2
PHI	14.0	12.9	15.4	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	47	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-4	11	14.6	13.8	0.81	14.9	14.2	0.75
Randy Foye	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-1	5	13.7	15.4	-1.65	14.6	14.1	0.52
Jameer Nelson	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.50	2	1	1	14.1	14.3	-0.18	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Will Barton	72	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	1	1	13.7	15.4	-1.71	14.9	13.7	1.12
Danilo Gallinari	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	13.6	16.7	-3.12	14.6	13.9	0.68
JJ Hickson	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	12.5	14.4	-1.90	15.2	14.4	0.83
Joffrey Lauvergne	19	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-1	5	16.1	13.7	2.39	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Mike Miller	33	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	4	-5	16.0	13.3	2.68	14.7	14.4	0.33
Emmanuel Mudiay	67	64	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	6	-9	14.4	13.7	0.63	14.2	15.0	-0.77
Darrell Arthur	43	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	8	-13	14.4	13.9	0.49	14.0	14.9	-0.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	35	35	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-6	9	15.5	14.0	1.52	15.2	13.6	1.54
Tony Wroten	30	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-9	15	13.9	14.8	-0.92	12.3	14.9	-2.63
Richaun Holmes	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-1	-1	16.6	13.6	2.94	12.6	14.8	-2.25
TJ McConnell	59	61	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	1	-5	15.1	13.6	1.48	15.1	12.7	2.38
Hollis Thompson	47	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	14.8	14.2	0.58	12.9	15.5	-2.59
Jerami Grant	58	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-3	3	13.8	15.5	-1.68	14.8	13.1	1.74
Nik Stauskas	59	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	14.4	14.6	-0.20	13.0	16.0	-3.07
Nerlens Noel	65	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	2	-7	13.9	15.6	-1.69	14.9	12.9	2.03
Robert Covington	64	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	1	-5	14.6	14.3	0.25	13.9	14.6	-0.66
Isaiah Canaan	49	51	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.54	-7	4	-11	13.5	15.5	-1.93	15.6	12.7	2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.67,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 80, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.78,0.42,0	91.2%
PHX 104, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.58,0	91.1%
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	91.0%