NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	8.9 [152]		MVP	Tony Snell (CHI): +18.5%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	2.3 [329]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -27.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	21	49%	0.06	2	-0.09	9	78%	-0.02
Danny Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.03	-0.10	-0.03	4	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.01	18	54%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	5	110%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	40%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	64%	0.18	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.06
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.08
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	17	31%	-0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	26.2	15.4	23.4	2.3	35.4	126.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.5%

CHI +6.6%

CHI +18.9%

SAS -16.9%

SAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	14.9	96.7	97.9	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		109.0	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.7		105.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	16.9	15.9	18.8	16.6
CHI	13.6	13.8	14.8	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	63	64	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-8	13	16.6	16.6	0.07	15.0	13.2	1.80
Kawhi Leonard	77	79	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.33	14	-17	31	15.8	20.9	-5.10	14.7	12.5	2.21
Tim Duncan	57	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-13	23	15.8	17.8	-1.99	15.2	13.2	1.99
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-14	25	15.0	20.4	-5.44	15.2	12.4	2.80
Tony Parker	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-12	21	15.6	18.5	-2.94	15.0	13.2	1.78
Kyle Anderson	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	5	-13	19.6	16.3	3.28	12.5	14.6	-2.12
Boris Diaw	33	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	7	-17	18.7	15.4	3.23	13.6	14.8	-1.21
Patty Mills	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	9	-21	18.5	15.6	2.94	13.2	15.0	-1.78
David West	29	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	14	-31	19.3	15.3	3.96	12.0	15.6	-3.52
Manu Ginobili	35	35	-1.01	0.51	-1.52	-0.51	-17	14	-31	17.6	16.0	1.66	13.1	15.2	-2.08

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	44	44	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-7	17	13.5	15.2	-1.72	17.6	15.7	1.90
E'Twaun Moore	32	32	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-6	15	13.6	14.8	-1.17	18.1	15.8	2.34
Taj Gibson	37	35	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	-5	13	13.9	14.7	-0.83	18.7	15.3	3.32
Doug McDermott	58	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-7	17	14.6	14.0	0.64	17.1	15.9	1.18
Tony Snell	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	-3	9	13.7	15.0	-1.31	17.3	15.9	1.46
Derrick Rose	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	14.6	13.9	0.70	15.9	18.3	-2.38
Pau Gasol	59	58	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	10	-17	15.1	13.2	1.90	15.3	18.8	-3.44
Jimmy Butler	79	77	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	14	-25	14.7	12.5	2.21	15.8	20.9	-5.10
Nikola Mirotic	48	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	8	-13	14.7	14.0	0.73	15.7	17.5	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,1	90.0%
NJN 83, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%
SEA 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	89.8%