NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	83		Excitement	8.6 [187]		MVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): +39.4%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	3.2 [500]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -30.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	11	74%	0.25	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	14	50%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.24,-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	16	36%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31	-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	24	37%	-0.10	4	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.39	0.39	-0.01	0.39	-0.01	12	46%	0.42	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.14
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.23	0.00	20	54%	0.34	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.08	0.03	13	74%	0.27	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	11	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	28.3	16.8	26.8	1.0	35.0	132.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -3.0%

TOR +32.0%

TOR +2.9%

TOR +19.3%

NJN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.4	94.3	101.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	15.6	16.2	16.5	15.8
TOR	19.4	15.7	18.0	14.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	60	60	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-13	20	15.0	17.5	-2.47	17.6	15.4	2.22
Jason Kidd	73	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-14	22	15.6	17.1	-1.51	17.0	16.3	0.74
Marcus Williams	12	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	15.8	15.8	0.02	13.5	17.3	-3.85
Jason Collins	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-8	10	16.3	15.3	1.06	17.9	15.8	2.16
Richard Jefferson	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-7	8	15.8	15.8	-0.02	17.1	15.5	1.56
Antoine Wright	15	15	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	8	-22	17.1	15.6	1.51	16.1	17.1	-1.02
Josh Boone	22	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	6	-18	16.9	15.5	1.45	15.8	17.3	-1.51
Bostjan Nachbar	56	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	15.5	16.3	-0.78	16.5	17.7	-1.19
Vince Carter	80	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	2	-10	16.0	13.9	2.14	16.7	19.0	-2.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	82	83	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-7	20	16.5	22.3	-5.82	15.9	14.0	1.93
Rasho Nesterovic	42	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-1	8	17.0	16.8	0.13	16.3	15.3	0.99
Morris Peterson	62	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-4	14	16.7	17.3	-0.62	16.1	15.1	1.02
T.J. Ford	57	57	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	0	6	16.9	17.0	-0.14	15.2	17.0	-1.77
Chris Bosh	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	17.1	13.7	3.48	15.7	17.7	-2.06
Juan Dixon	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	14.0	17.2	-3.16	17.1	15.7	1.44
Jose Calderon	32	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	4	-2	16.5	17.1	-0.64	16.5	15.4	1.12
Kris Humphries	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	9	-12	19.0	16.3	2.75	14.2	16.3	-2.03
Andrea Bargnani	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	9	-12	16.7	17.1	-0.39	16.5	15.4	1.02
Joey Graham	22	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	16	-26	17.9	16.6	1.33	14.7	16.2	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	91.0%
LAL 88, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	91.0%
ORL 97, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	90.8%