NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +21.1%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	4.9 [207]		LVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): -15.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.19,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	24	58%	0.31	6	-0.27	11	100%	0.07
Andre Roberson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	0.10	-0.08	0.03	18	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.00	15	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	7	6%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.02	17	68%	0.34	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.05	15	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	42%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.00	19	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.08
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.7	30.2	15.7	25.2	1.8	38.2	136.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.5%

ATL +5.4%

OKC -6.7%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ATL	NBA	OKC	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	14.9	98.0	107.1	105.1
season	14.4	14.2		111.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		100.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.2	12.3	15.0	14.8	13.5
ATL	14.0	16.0	15.6	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	45	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.44	19	-25	44	14.4	12.9	1.52	15.4	14.9	0.48
Dion Waiters	65	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-12	18	13.6	13.4	0.28	15.3	14.8	0.50
Serge Ibaka	77	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	12.5	16.7	-4.17	15.6	13.9	1.72
Enes Kanter	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	16.3	12.4	3.92	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Nick Collison	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	1	-8	16.7	12.5	4.17	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Russell Westbrook	81	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	12.0	19.5	-7.49	15.4	14.0	1.40
Kevin Durant	88	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	12.3	21.0	-8.66	15.3	14.3	1.04
D.J. Augustin	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-4	2	18.1	11.7	6.34	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Steven Adams	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	8	-22	13.2	13.7	-0.41	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Andre Roberson	38	34	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.17	-26	20	-46	13.0	13.9	-0.89	15.2	15.1	0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	69	72	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.41	17	-11	28	15.3	14.8	0.46	13.8	12.9	0.89
Paul Millsap	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-1	8	15.2	15.0	0.25	12.2	17.8	-5.63
Thabo Sefolosha	81	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	4	-2	15.3	14.6	0.73	12.8	16.9	-4.15
Al Horford	70	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	15.5	14.4	1.04	14.0	12.4	1.56
Dennis Schroder	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	15.2	15.1	0.11	16.9	12.1	4.85
Jeff Teague	66	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	1	4	15.4	14.7	0.68	12.1	16.9	-4.85
Mike Scott	17	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.11	18.9	12.5	6.34
Mike Muscala	34	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	9	-12	14.4	15.5	-1.08	13.5	13.5	-0.05
Lamar Patterson	3	3	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	4	-2	19.7	15.0	4.66	13.0	13.5	-0.55
Kent Bazemore	49	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	14	-22	13.7	16.6	-2.97	13.9	13.2	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.61,0.45,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.92,1	90.3%
SAS 82, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.58,1	90.2%
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.57,0.58,1	89.6%