NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	7.0 [430]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +29.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.3 [359]		LVP	Greg Anthony (POR): -16.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.13,0.11	-0.05	0.13	-0.03	17	50%	0.20	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	6	85%	0.13	3	-0.08	14	93%	0.10
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	21	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	7	19%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.21	0.00	15	70%	0.35	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.06
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,-0.03,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.13	-0.02	13	65%	0.38	2	-0.18	5	80%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	35%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.6	31.3	16.4	25.5	2.4	40.5	141.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +88.3%

POR -7.8%

POR -25.4%

POR -7.0%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	13.2	15.2	100.0	103.0	101.7
season	15.9	14.1		105.9	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.5	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.4	19.7	12.9	15.7
CLE	10.8	15.2	12.5	14.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	33	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	14.5	16.2	-1.69	16.5	11.7	4.83
Brian Grant	23	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-1	-1	13.7	16.2	-2.59	16.4	12.2	4.12
Jermaine O'Neal	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	13.3	15.8	-2.46	16.4	13.0	3.42
Stacey Augmon	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	15.1	16.0	-0.86	13.5	12.9	0.62
Arvydas Sabonis	58	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	17.2	13.5	3.67	12.4	14.2	-1.73
Steven Smith	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.4	17.1	-1.65	12.8	15.2	-2.41
Rasheed Wallace	84	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.6	16.1	-0.57	13.6	10.9	2.76
Detlef Schrempf	53	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	3	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.86	12.7	13.6	-0.89
Scottie Pippen	53	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	5	-13	16.4	14.8	1.59	12.3	14.2	-1.92
Damon Stoudamire	67	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	6	-15	16.2	14.5	1.69	11.7	16.5	-4.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	67	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-7	17	11.3	17.0	-5.70	16.7	13.4	3.33
Brevin Knight	68	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-5	13	11.4	16.8	-5.34	16.7	13.6	3.05
Cedric Henderson	41	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-9	21	14.1	12.5	1.61	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Andrew DeClercq	88	88	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	1	1	13.8	8.6	5.19	15.2	18.7	-3.43
Wesley Person	28	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-6	15	15.0	12.4	2.52	13.3	16.6	-3.31
Bob Sura	72	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	9	-15	12.4	15.0	-2.52	16.6	13.3	3.31
Lamond Murray	68	67	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.34	-11	14	-25	13.1	13.3	-0.28	16.5	13.9	2.55
Trajan Langdon	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	3	-3	9.0	13.2	-4.23	5.0	15.8	-10.76
Andre Miller	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	9	-15	15.9	11.8	4.10	13.4	16.8	-3.35
Ryan Stack	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	6	-9	15.4	12.1	3.27	15.5	15.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.98,1	91.0%
DAL 86, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	91.0%
IND 95, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.55,0.85,1	90.5%