NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	5.9 [654]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +29.4%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.2 [527]		LVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): -15.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Courtney Lee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	14	57%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	9	86%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.27	0.06	0.03	19	82%	0.38	4	-0.09	11	100%	0.07
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	65%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.03	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	8	28%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.0	15.8	28.4	2.0	37.0	136.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +23.1%

MEM +2.2%

MEM +15.7%

MEM +8.4%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	13.5	14.9	103.0	95.9	105.1
season	15.7	14.0		103.4	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.3	15.8	14.8	20.1	15.9
HOU	13.4	13.0	15.2	12.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	58	55	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.31	13	-4	17	16.3	15.3	0.92	14.1	12.6	1.53
Marc Gasol	79	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-7	23	15.8	16.3	-0.59	13.6	12.8	0.80
Vince Carter	29	28	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	17.4	15.2	2.22	13.3	13.6	-0.23
Courtney Lee	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	8	-7	17.3	14.2	3.04	12.7	14.5	-1.82
Jeff Green	68	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	15.2	17.4	-2.20	13.5	13.5	0.00
Mike Conley	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	8	-7	14.7	18.8	-4.10	13.6	13.2	0.41
Mario Chalmers	47	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	6	-3	16.4	15.4	1.00	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Matt Barnes	64	64	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	15.1	17.3	-2.18	13.7	13.0	0.69
JaMychal Green	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	16.7	15.6	1.13	12.9	13.7	-0.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	18	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-12	15	13.7	13.4	0.29	13.6	16.4	-2.84
Ty Lawson	6	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-3	-3	13.2	13.5	-0.34	18.2	15.8	2.44
Corey Brewer	52	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-14	19	12.7	14.4	-1.71	17.1	14.5	2.59
Marcus Thornton	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	13.2	13.6	-0.35	16.9	15.4	1.49
Jason Terry	58	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	13.3	13.7	-0.43	16.0	15.7	0.36
James Harden	84	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-10	11	13.5	13.2	0.29	15.1	21.0	-5.90
Terrence Jones	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	14.6	12.7	1.92	14.0	17.3	-3.35
Patrick Beverley	39	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	4	-17	13.7	13.3	0.43	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Dwight Howard	79	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	3	-15	13.4	13.7	-0.29	16.4	13.6	2.84
Trevor Ariza	78	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	5	-19	13.5	13.4	0.08	16.4	13.6	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
GSW 115, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	93.8%
DET 89, MIL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%