NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	7.4 [376]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +25.2%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.3 [606]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -29.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	7	100%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	23	59%	0.19	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	86%	0.15	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.01	15	61%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	3	86%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	22	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.20	0.04	20	50%	-0.13	5	-0.17	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.3	29.5	16.5	25.4	3.5	31.6	133.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +51.2%

PHX -5.6%

CHI +16.2%

PHX -15.2%

CHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	14.9	105.1	99.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		103.7	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	15.6	15.5	17.1	15.6
PHX	16.0	12.7	14.5	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	55	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	15.8	15.3	0.41	13.6	14.1	-0.56
Doug McDermott	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-1	8	15.9	15.2	0.73	13.5	14.1	-0.58
Jimmy Butler	88	87	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	15.7	14.4	1.32	13.6	15.2	-1.55
Kirk Hinrich	50	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	15.3	15.8	-0.49	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Pau Gasol	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	6	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.23	13.8	13.8	-0.07
Aaron Brooks	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	0	6	15.8	15.4	0.35	14.3	13.5	0.75
Tony Snell	38	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-3	12	15.6	15.6	-0.00	15.4	12.8	2.59
Joakim Noah	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	1	4	15.1	15.9	-0.79	13.6	14.0	-0.38
Nikola Mirotic	43	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.8	-0.41	14.1	13.6	0.56
E'Twaun Moore	29	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.17	-13	19	-32	14.7	16.0	-1.27	13.5	13.9	-0.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	28	29	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.24	13	-19	32	11.8	14.6	-2.78	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Devin Booker	32	32	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-15	24	12.9	14.2	-1.29	15.5	15.6	-0.17
Ronnie Price	20	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	13.5	13.9	-0.32	15.8	15.5	0.32
Alex Len	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	14.0	13.7	0.34	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Archie Goodwin	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.4	13.6	1.82	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Jon Leuer	13	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	2	-10	14.3	13.7	0.58	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Eric Bledsoe	80	80	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-4	2	13.8	14.0	-0.24	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Tyson Chandler	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.34	15.8	15.1	0.69
Brandon Knight	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	13.7	14.4	-0.71	15.9	14.3	1.57
Markieff Morris	57	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	5	-16	14.7	12.6	2.06	16.1	14.8	1.28
PJ Tucker	69	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.24	-16	10	-26	14.2	12.9	1.29	15.5	15.8	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.17,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	93.0%
NYK 98, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.8%
DEN 99, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.2,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,0	92.7%