NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	7.3 [401]		MVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): +43.0%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	139.8 [7]		LVP	Ty Lawson (HOU): -11.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.05	-0.02	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cliff Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	51%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	19	48%	0.05	6	-0.12	10	100%	0.06
Maurice Harkless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	16	44%	0.04	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.05	0.40	0.02	12	57%	0.45	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.04,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.11	0.05	29	58%	0.31	5	-0.13	20	95%	0.11
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	5	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	18	47%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.1	15.5	28.3	2.4	42.5	3.4	12.3	159.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.2%

POR -2.6%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.9	95.4	98.2	105.1
season	15.0	14.0		107.1	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.6		106.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.3	14.1	13.5	15.9	14.1	14.6
HOU	15.4	16.5	13.7	11.2	19.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	10	11	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.04	11	-16	27	14.1	14.7	-0.59	17.5	14.2	3.24
Maurice Harkless	39	38	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-8	11	15.1	14.4	0.69	15.1	14.3	0.79
Gerald Henderson	29	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-7	9	16.2	14.1	2.10	14.7	14.5	0.17
Noah Vonleh	24	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	14.6	14.7	-0.07	16.1	14.0	2.06
Mason Plumlee	64	67	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-11	17	13.9	15.7	-1.72	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Ed Davis	35	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	1	-7	16.1	14.0	2.10	14.4	14.6	-0.27
Cliff Alexander	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	15.7	14.5	1.17	10.7	14.9	-4.21
Damian Lillard	82	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.13	14.7	14.1	0.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	76	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.8	-1.67	14.3	15.2	-0.96
CJ McCollum	81	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.40	-9	4	-13	14.5	15.0	-0.43	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Allen Crabbe	81	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	7	-19	14.7	14.5	0.16	14.4	15.0	-0.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	55	56	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.53	13	-8	21	14.0	15.1	-1.11	14.7	14.6	0.05
Jason Terry	62	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-3	11	14.0	15.3	-1.30	15.1	14.1	1.00
Trevor Ariza	80	77	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-2	9	14.4	14.9	-0.45	14.1	16.0	-1.86
James Harden	98	98	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	14.1	18.0	-3.89	14.7	14.3	0.37
Dwight Howard	84	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	4	-3	14.2	15.5	-1.31	14.7	14.6	0.06
Clint Capela	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	-1	7	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.1	14.5	0.63
Montrezl Harrell	14	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	8	-11	16.6	14.2	2.41	14.7	14.6	0.06
Marcus Thornton	33	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	10	-15	15.3	14.2	1.10	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Ty Lawson	39	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.13	-5	10	-15	15.8	13.8	1.95	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Terrence Jones	59	60	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.18	-7	12	-19	14.8	14.3	0.49	15.4	13.7	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.99,1,1	90.8%
GSW 133, MIL 138	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.84,1	90.2%
CHI 97, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.92,1	89.3%