inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 133 Excitement10.2 [57] MVPGary Payton (MIL): +25.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 138 Comeback68.0 [21] LVPGilbert Arenas (GSW): -11.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.170.170.030.032171%0.191-0.031479%-0.00
Jason Richardson0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.150.050.10-0.001369%0.213-0.06683%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Chris Mills-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bob Sura-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01829%-0.051-0.011100%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.01765%0.104-0.18367%-0.01
Troy Murphy-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.07-0.03763%0.065-0.17580%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.02-0.11-0.012061%0.096-0.20989%0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.250.250.080.200.032258%0.291-0.04475%-0.03
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.110.02985%0.232-0.042100%0.01
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.140.140.020.11-0.012247%0.1400.0010%-0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.090.041859%0.161-0.031100%0.01
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.030.030.06-0.010.021474%0.214-0.181080%-0.01
Desmond Mason0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.012045%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01525%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.028.315.721.22.533.71.619.5146.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +38.4%
GSW -31.8%
MIL +3.2%
MIL +39.4%
MIL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMILNBAGSWMILNBA
this game13.414.415.5116.7120.0101.6
season14.615.4105.3106.3
opponent15.815.1106.5106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW12.012.114.316.011.613.4
MIL13.315.015.712.816.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy35340.32-0.821.150.127-121912.213.8-1.6214.414.4-0.05
Adonal Foyle37370.24-0.740.990.134-91313.913.10.8014.814.20.62
Erick Dampier55550.22-0.720.940.075-101512.913.7-0.7814.714.20.45
Earl Boykins39430.06-0.560.630.002-7914.312.91.4213.115.2-2.12
Chris Mills1090.02-0.520.53-0.011-6713.613.30.2714.814.40.39
Jason Richardson7174-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.492-7913.513.20.3015.213.02.28
Troy Murphy9390-0.680.18-0.86-0.48-72-913.313.6-0.2714.812.91.91
Gilbert Arenas8889-0.730.23-0.95-0.37-127-1913.114.3-1.2914.315.0-0.70
Antawn Jamison8992-0.750.25-1.00-0.46-105-1513.413.30.0414.215.3-1.16
Bob Sura5352-0.770.27-1.05-0.27-1712-2913.813.00.8613.715.0-1.25

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Toni Kukoc68680.96-0.461.420.2325-204513.515.7-2.2113.812.71.13
Gary Payton99990.57-0.070.630.309-41314.315.2-0.9713.313.7-0.44
Tim Thomas81800.410.090.320.53-49-1314.514.30.1313.014.2-1.22
Sam Cassell95930.390.110.280.2741314.812.42.3813.612.31.25
Desmond Mason74710.360.140.230.60-813-2115.612.23.4513.213.5-0.30
Michael Redd62620.330.170.16-0.0513-82112.716.4-3.6713.912.71.10
Jason Caffey2929-0.090.59-0.69-0.0905-513.514.7-1.2514.313.01.24
Ervin Johnson1820-0.130.63-0.76-0.04-38-1114.614.40.1610.813.9-3.09
Anthony Mason4948-0.290.79-1.090.03-1116-2715.913.32.5113.013.6-0.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 106, GSW 1110.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.84,191.3%
IND 103, CHA 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.05,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.84,191.0%
POR 101, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.99,1,190.3%