NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.2 [247]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +20.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	3.4 [581]		LVP	Nik Stauskas (PHI): -34.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	13	72%	0.20	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
TJ McConnell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.01	-0.05	4	87%	0.07	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.00	16	50%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	27%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Hollis Thompson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31,-0.35	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	19	36%	-0.09	4	-0.26	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.15	-0.04	20	48%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	68%	0.22	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	14	55%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	42%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	12	41%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	29.0	14.8	27.2	2.7	33.2	133.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +23.0%

PHI -3.6%

PHI -7.2%

MIL +42.5%

PHI -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.9	92.6	98.9	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		97.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.2		107.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	16.9	14.2	15.5	15.6
MIL	14.3	13.8	15.9	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	43	44	0.75	-1.25	2.00	0.10	22	-26	48	14.3	16.6	-2.26	17.5	13.5	4.09
Phil Pressey	4	4	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.27	6	-10	16	13.5	15.6	-2.14	21.2	15.1	6.10
Nerlens Noel	63	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-15	26	15.8	15.1	0.68	16.0	14.3	1.69
Nik Stauskas	66	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.55	15	-19	34	15.6	15.4	0.18	16.0	14.0	1.92
JaKarr Sampson	32	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	10	-24	16.6	15.0	1.62	14.0	16.1	-2.06
Richaun Holmes	42	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	16	-36	15.2	15.9	-0.70	13.7	16.6	-2.99
Isaiah Canaan	32	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	14	-32	15.0	15.8	-0.79	13.7	16.2	-2.54
TJ McConnell	66	66	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.73	4	-8	12	16.2	14.1	2.11	15.5	15.2	0.31
Hollis Thompson	56	54	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.22	-22	18	-40	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Jahlil Okafor	66	68	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.84	-4	0	-4	15.8	14.9	0.99	15.2	16.1	-0.91

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	40	43	1.17	-0.67	1.83	0.58	20	-16	36	15.9	15.0	0.95	15.9	15.3	0.61
Khris Middleton	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	15.4	15.4	0.06	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Greg Monroe	69	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-2	8	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.0	17.3	-2.24
Chris Copeland	20	21	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-6	16	15.8	15.3	0.49	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	4	-4	15.1	17.4	-2.29	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Rashad Vaughn	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	3	-2	16.2	15.0	1.13	16.2	15.2	0.96
Jerryd Bayless	58	60	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	11	-18	15.1	15.9	-0.79	15.6	15.4	0.22
Miles Plumlee	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	6	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.72	17.3	15.0	2.24
Johnny O'Bryant	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	4	-4	15.3	15.5	-0.18	16.5	15.2	1.30
Jabari Parker	31	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	15.9	15.2	0.74	16.2	15.2	0.96
Tyler Ennis	18	16	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.24	-7	11	-18	14.2	15.7	-1.48	14.7	15.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.29,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	89.8%
SAC 102, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.45,0.73,1	89.7%
PHI 90, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.45,0.57,0.9,1	89.7%