NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	8.0 [271]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +30.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	3.3 [867]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -9.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Ben McLemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.1	-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	23	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.19	0.02	22	63%	0.39	3	-0.08	15	73%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.03	0.09	9	100%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	-0.05
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	12	42%	-0.12
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	42%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	13	50%	0.16	5	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	40.1	15.7	27.1	1.8	41.2	154.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.8%

LAC +22.5%

SAC -13.6%

SAC -5.6%

LAC +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	12.8	14.9	103.8	107.5	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.8	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.6		102.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	14.1	15.4	14.5	14.5
LAC	11.3	10.7	17.3	13.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	45	46	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.08	13	-18	31	15.0	14.0	0.99	13.2	12.6	0.65
Willie Cauley-Stein	48	48	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-9	13	15.2	13.9	1.31	13.5	12.3	1.27
Caron Butler	29	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.63	14.4	12.2	2.16
Ben McLemore	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	4	-13	13.7	14.7	-1.07	10.0	13.8	-3.77
DeMarcus Cousins	37	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	6	-17	13.2	15.1	-1.96	11.3	13.8	-2.48
Marco Belinelli	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.0	13.7	1.38	12.6	13.2	-0.61
Darren Collison	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.6	14.1	0.43	12.6	13.5	-0.88
Rajon Rondo	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	14.1	15.3	-1.23	13.6	11.2	2.46
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	14.1	15.0	-0.88	12.9	12.8	0.14
Kosta Koufos	63	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	15.2	13.3	1.87	13.1	12.5	0.55

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	81	82	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.29	23	-18	41	12.7	13.4	-0.72	13.9	16.4	-2.48
DeAndre Jordan	82	83	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.22	24	-19	43	12.3	14.6	-2.30	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Chris Paul	86	85	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.33	19	-14	33	13.1	11.7	1.35	13.9	16.6	-2.71
JJ Redick	74	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-10	25	12.6	13.3	-0.66	14.2	15.1	-0.96
Lance Stephenson	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-15	35	12.4	13.4	-1.01	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Jamal Crawford	48	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	16	-27	13.7	12.2	1.53	14.6	14.4	0.21
Luc Mbah a Moute	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	13.0	-12.97	16.0	14.4	1.56
Wesley Johnson	26	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.16	-13	18	-31	12.1	13.1	-0.97	15.5	14.2	1.30
Josh Smith	24	22	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.11	-17	22	-39	14.7	12.3	2.35	16.1	14.0	2.12
Paul Pierce	29	27	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	23	-41	13.8	12.5	1.35	15.8	14.0	1.78
Austin Rivers	25	25	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.03	-17	22	-39	12.7	12.9	-0.22	15.9	14.0	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.47,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%
PHX 104, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.85,1,1,1	91.7%
ATL 103, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1	91.6%