NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	6.6 [478]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (LAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	115		Comeback	2.4 [719]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -22.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	14	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	112%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	71%	0.15	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	70%	0.11	5	-0.19	7	86%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	11	40%	-0.14	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	12	68%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	24	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	16	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.0	28.2	15.6	25.5	1.8	37.2	133.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -6.1%

ATL -5.3%

LAC +20.5%

LAC +38.1%

LAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.7	106.2	118.6	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.5	15.1	14.2	14.5
LAC	16.6	15.5	13.2	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	54	53	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.08	2	-14	16	13.3	16.0	-2.75	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Boris Diaw	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-19	26	13.4	15.3	-1.86	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Lee Nailon	26	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-17	22	15.0	14.3	0.69	17.2	14.5	2.65
Jacque Vaughn	43	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-12	12	13.3	15.4	-2.14	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Dion Glover	81	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-11	10	14.7	13.2	1.49	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	14.8	13.7	1.10	14.3	17.4	-3.12
Jason Terry	61	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	8	-28	14.8	13.9	0.88	15.6	14.5	1.15
Theo Ratliff	44	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.17	-18	6	-24	15.2	13.9	1.30	16.1	14.4	1.78
Stephen Jackson	66	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.11	-22	10	-32	15.3	12.7	2.62	15.7	14.2	1.49

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-7	26	15.3	14.8	0.53	15.7	11.2	4.51
Chris Wilcox	68	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-3	18	15.6	14.2	1.46	15.0	13.2	1.80
Corey Maggette	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-3	18	14.7	17.2	-2.42	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Keyon Dooling	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.10	12	0	12	13.9	17.5	-3.58	14.8	13.9	0.92
Quentin Richardson	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	14.4	18.4	-4.01	14.1	16.2	-2.07
Marko Jaric	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	12	-12	17.5	13.9	3.58	13.9	14.8	-0.92
Bobby Simmons	36	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	12	-12	15.6	15.0	0.62	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Eddie House	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	13	-14	17.2	14.9	2.25	15.6	14.3	1.24
Melvin Ely	38	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	16	-20	15.1	15.3	-0.19	13.0	15.5	-2.50
Chris Kaman	7	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	21	-30	18.6	14.9	3.64	10.5	14.8	-4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.7%
BOS 91, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.94,1,1	92.5%
HOU 103, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.2%