NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	139		Excitement	11.4 [22]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +84.0%
Orlando Magic	136		Comeback	61.9 [32]		LVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): -21.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.04,0.49,0.61,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.84	0.05	0.81	0.02	36	55%	0.97	6	-0.13	16	81%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.31	0.18	0.17	0.03	30	61%	0.38	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.01	6	86%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	8	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	6	25%	-0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58	0.58	-0.16	0.68	-0.07	27	37%	0.69	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	4	94%	0.21	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.04
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.02	0.03	14	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	19	60%	0.16	5	-0.12	12	83%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.19	-0.04	21	46%	-0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	30.5	15.4	25.6	2.3	40.6	2.7	17.9	1.5	21.5	185.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +37.4%

ORL -18.3%

OKC +28.1%

ORL -7.7%

OKC +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	ORL	NBA	OKC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.5	14.9	110.3	107.1	105.1
season	14.4	14.6		111.5	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	14.7	14.6	13.4	11.8	15.9	14.0
ORL	11.5	15.4	13.8	14.9	12.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	59	61	1.08	-0.58	1.67	0.38	24	-21	45	14.5	13.5	1.03	14.1	13.0	1.05
Dion Waiters	59	60	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.31	24	-21	45	14.1	13.9	0.11	14.8	12.3	2.52
Steven Adams	80	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.74	-3	6	-9	14.4	13.3	1.15	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Russell Westbrook	105	105	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	1	1	13.7	15.3	-1.55	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Kevin Durant	116	116	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	0	3	14.2	11.7	2.49	13.8	10.5	3.36
Enes Kanter	37	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.29	9	-6	15	13.4	14.2	-0.79	14.9	12.9	2.01
Anthony Morrow	32	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	11	-19	13.5	14.2	-0.66	11.2	14.3	-3.12
Kyle Singler	28	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	8	-13	13.6	14.1	-0.54	12.8	13.7	-0.94
Andre Roberson	40	40	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.00	-13	16	-29	14.4	13.8	0.67	14.6	13.0	1.65
Serge Ibaka	74	73	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.03	-18	21	-39	13.5	14.7	-1.16	12.6	14.7	-2.06

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	49	47	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.12	2	-5	7	13.3	13.6	-0.31	13.2	14.5	-1.24
Mario Hezonja	32	30	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-7	11	13.7	13.5	0.18	14.4	13.9	0.54
Shabazz Napier	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	21.0	13.5	7.54	7.0	14.0	-7.05
Evan Fournier	99	98	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-8	13	13.4	13.9	-0.52	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Dewayne Dedmon	29	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	2	-7	14.5	13.2	1.29	14.0	14.0	0.01
Aaron Gordon	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	3	-9	13.1	13.7	-0.56	14.2	13.9	0.31
Nikola Vucevic	98	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.58	3	-6	9	13.2	14.5	-1.29	14.1	13.5	0.60
Tobias Harris	102	102	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.49	-2	-1	-1	13.4	14.0	-0.65	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Elfrid Payton	77	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	4	-11	13.8	13.1	0.76	14.8	12.8	1.96
Victor Oladipo	109	111	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	6	-15	13.7	12.7	0.93	14.0	14.1	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 123, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.05,0.02,0	85.7%
LAC 99, VAN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.15,0.23,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.09,0,0	84.6%
ORL 73, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	84.3%