NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	123		Excitement	10.6 [36]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +34.0%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	44.0 [31]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -23.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.13,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.12,0.06,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34	-0.01	0.35	0.00	33	49%	0.43	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.13
James Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.21	0.03	6	80%	0.28	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	27	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.10	-0.12	0.04	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.20	6	83%	-0.04
CJ Watson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	-0.06	0.30	-0.07	22	43%	0.37	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	12	68%	0.12	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.11	-0.15	0.02	20	61%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	10	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.07
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	15	40%	-0.07	3	-0.16	5	80%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	32.2	7.0	25.0	2.5	37.2	1.6	21.5	1.5	17.3	173.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +63.6%

PHX -5.9%

PHX -12.2%

PHX -4.0%

CHI +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.5	109.8	101.8	105.7
season	15.7	14.5		106.5	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		109.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	17.9	14.0	16.8	12.5	14.6	15.2
PHX	10.5	16.7	19.2	19.3	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	33	33	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-5	18	12.2	16.4	-4.18	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Kyle Korver	91	92	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.00	22	-14	36	14.1	20.1	-6.04	16.5	12.5	4.01
Derrick Rose	94	96	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	2	4	15.6	12.8	2.80	16.3	12.8	3.44
Joakim Noah	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	3	2	15.7	13.5	2.20	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Luol Deng	104	104	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	5	-2	15.3	13.6	1.68	15.7	15.7	0.08
Brian Scalabrine	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.19	10	-2	12	13.8	15.4	-1.60	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Omer Asik	26	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	6	-4	13.1	15.8	-2.70	17.9	15.1	2.82
James Johnson	41	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.32	10	-2	12	13.9	15.9	-2.03	18.0	14.4	3.57
Keith Bogans	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.27	-14	22	-36	20.1	14.1	6.04	12.5	16.5	-4.01
Ronnie Brewer	48	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.30	-17	25	-42	17.8	13.2	4.63	13.7	17.2	-3.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	64	64	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-18	28	15.5	16.1	-0.60	17.2	12.5	4.67
Goran Dragic	18	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-4	0	16.9	15.5	1.43	13.1	15.6	-2.51
Earl Clark	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	0.0	15.9	-15.88	6.0	15.3	-9.27
Jared Dudley	36	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	1	-10	15.7	15.7	0.01	12.5	16.2	-3.72
Josh Childress	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	8	-24	17.5	15.3	2.18	11.9	16.1	-4.21
Grant Hill	90	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.49	6	-14	20	15.2	18.0	-2.83	15.9	12.4	3.46
Jason Richardson	83	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-5	2	15.0	17.7	-2.66	15.6	13.8	1.82
Channing Frye	87	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.52	2	-10	12	15.8	15.5	0.37	15.5	14.2	1.25
Steve Nash	90	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-9	10	16.0	14.7	1.32	16.0	11.7	4.33
Hakim Warrick	72	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	15	-38	16.4	14.6	1.86	13.5	17.9	-4.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, VAN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.15,0.23,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.09,0,0	88.9%
OKC 139, ORL 136	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	85.7%
MEM 122, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.82,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.69,0.72,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.23,0.04,0	83.2%