NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	8.3 [235]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +21.8%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	6.0 [434]		LVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): -17.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	10	83%	0.26	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,0.03,0.03	-0.10	0.09	-0.04	17	39%	0.16	3	-0.14	10	90%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	11	35%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.17,0.06,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.21	0.02	17	50%	0.33	2	-0.13	16	62%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	11	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.01	17	57%	0.24	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	7	57%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	14	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	4	30%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	30.5	15.5	26.4	2.6	49.3	155.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.4%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +24.2%

IND -26.0%

TOR +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	13.1	14.6	14.9	95.2	101.9	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.2	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	10.6	14.7	14.7	12.8	13.1
TOR	15.1	16.0	13.0	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.0	13.0	4.03	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Ian Mahinmi	50	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	13.4	12.8	0.61	15.4	13.7	1.67
Rodney Stuckey	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-7	7	14.3	12.0	2.33	14.7	14.5	0.22
Lavoy Allen	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-5	3	13.5	13.0	0.48	14.1	14.7	-0.62
George Hill	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-6	5	12.8	14.2	-1.35	14.8	13.6	1.18
CJ Miles	78	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	12.9	13.8	-0.86	14.6	14.6	-0.06
Monta Ellis	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	12.4	14.3	-1.93	14.9	14.0	0.96
Chase Budinger	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	2	-11	15.2	12.3	2.96	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Jordan Hill	55	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	12.6	13.7	-1.08	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Paul George	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	12.5	15.2	-2.69	14.3	15.7	-1.39

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	88	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	0	7	14.4	15.6	-1.25	13.2	12.4	0.81
Kyle Lowry	85	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-1	9	14.9	13.3	1.60	12.6	15.8	-3.28
Jonas Valanciunas	72	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	14.8	13.9	0.91	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Terrence Ross	19	19	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	11.9	15.2	-3.21	14.7	12.8	1.97
Patrick Patterson	41	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	14.1	14.9	-0.82	13.6	12.8	0.75
James Johnson	7	7	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	1	5	13.4	14.6	-1.22	16.1	12.9	3.24
Cory Joseph	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	10	-13	14.9	14.1	0.86	13.4	12.7	0.69
Bismack Biyombo	32	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	8	-9	13.9	14.8	-0.91	13.7	12.8	0.85
DeMar DeRozan	80	80	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	7	-7	14.7	14.0	0.79	12.5	15.2	-2.76
Luis Scola	38	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	15.4	14.1	1.39	13.1	13.1	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.48,0.68,0.66,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.77,0.97,1	88.6%
LAL 91, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,1	88.4%
OKC 90, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.68,0.92,1	88.2%