NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	5.8 [644]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +23.7%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	5.5 [412]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -10.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	114%	0.20	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.15,0.08,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	26	58%	0.12	3	-0.08	27	81%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	59%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Kornel David	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.17	-0.04	14	56%	0.25	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	10	87%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	15	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	15	87%	0.07
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	34.0	16.6	27.3	2.4	41.4	150.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.3%

PHX +16.1%

TOR -0.6%

PHX +25.9%

TOR -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.5	117.0	123.9	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		103.7	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		96.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	17.2	20.1	16.8	17.5
PHX	14.6	17.1	14.2	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	29	29	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.09	13	-19	32	17.0	17.8	-0.80	15.4	15.1	0.33
Antonio Davis	51	52	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.21	13	-19	32	16.2	19.4	-3.19	16.6	13.3	3.30
Tyrone Corbin	18	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-12	18	16.3	17.8	-1.54	13.1	15.8	-2.71
Kornel David	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-6	6	16.1	17.6	-1.47	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Morris Peterson	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	0	-6	18.7	17.3	1.44	15.4	15.2	0.15
Vince Carter	82	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-9	12	17.1	23.5	-6.44	15.5	11.2	4.36
Mark Jackson	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	17.2	19.8	-2.59	14.4	22.2	-7.79
Dell Curry	17	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	5	-16	17.4	17.5	-0.18	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Charles Oakley	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	17.7	11.3	6.38	15.1	19.0	-3.91
Kevin Willis	30	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	14	-34	20.4	16.0	4.45	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Alvin Williams	29	26	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.04	-20	14	-34	19.3	16.6	2.75	17.2	14.4	2.84

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	47	48	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.28	12	-6	18	15.4	15.0	0.38	18.4	16.4	1.97
Elliot Perry	13	13	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-9	24	14.8	15.3	-0.54	18.7	17.3	1.40
Clifford Robinson	48	48	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	15.4	15.0	0.37	17.9	17.0	0.87
Shawn Marion	62	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	1	4	14.7	16.5	-1.86	17.6	17.2	0.49
Tony Delk	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	14.5	18.9	-4.47	17.4	17.9	-0.44
Paul McPherson	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	-2	10	16.8	14.4	2.44	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Daniel Santiago	14	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	1	4	17.6	14.8	2.79	17.4	17.5	-0.15
Chris Dudley	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	15.5	15.1	0.33	17.8	17.4	0.42
Jason Kidd	78	78	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	14	-22	15.0	16.9	-1.89	17.0	21.7	-4.74
Jake Tsakalidis	23	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	12	-18	14.3	15.5	-1.19	16.3	17.9	-1.64
Tom Gugliotta	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	13	-20	17.0	15.0	2.03	17.5	17.5	0.05
Rodney Rogers	15	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	13	-20	15.9	15.1	0.77	16.6	17.7	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.77,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
CHA 114, MIL 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
TOR 91, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,1	92.5%