NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	7.8 [299]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (IND): +20.8%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	5.8 [370]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -18.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	58%	0.08	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Alex Abrines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	16	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Cameron Payne	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.13,-0.05,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	27	47%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.12	0.05	13	50%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.01	5	117%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	6	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	0.01	20	46%	0.07	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	32%	-0.06	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	27.6	15.4	27.9	1.8	34.2	133.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.1%

IND +9.2%

OKC -29.4%

IND +22.2%

OKC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	IND	NBA	OKC	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	16.5	14.8	96.8	100.0	107.7
season	14.0	14.9		107.0	107.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.2	16.4	14.7	15.2	14.5
IND	16.0	20.7	12.5	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.0	14.6	-0.58	16.6	16.4	0.19
Cameron Payne	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-2	1	15.7	14.1	1.62	18.1	15.9	2.23
Steven Adams	69	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-7	11	14.6	14.2	0.44	17.3	14.1	3.22
Andre Roberson	70	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-4	5	14.8	13.7	1.12	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Alex Abrines	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	0	-3	17.2	14.1	3.07	19.0	16.1	2.94
Anthony Morrow	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	13.2	15.1	-1.92	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-4	5	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.5	16.2	0.28
Jerami Grant	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.9	13.9	0.96	17.2	15.5	1.62
Victor Oladipo	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	2	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.32	16.2	17.5	-1.35
Joffrey Lauvergne	43	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	10	-23	14.0	14.9	-0.88	14.2	18.4	-4.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	46	45	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-10	23	16.2	16.8	-0.59	14.8	14.2	0.55
Jeff Teague	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	0	3	16.2	17.2	-1.05	13.8	16.3	-2.44
Myles Turner	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	16.1	17.7	-1.58	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Lavoy Allen	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.22	3	0	3	15.4	18.5	-3.09	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Paul George	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	3	-3	16.2	17.1	-0.91	14.8	13.7	1.11
Kevin Seraphin	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-1	5	17.8	15.9	1.84	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Monta Ellis	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	6	-9	18.0	15.3	2.69	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Rodney Stuckey	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	3	-3	17.2	16.2	1.05	16.3	13.8	2.44
Al Jefferson	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	3	-3	18.3	15.9	2.40	15.3	14.3	1.02
CJ Miles	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	9	-15	16.1	16.7	-0.57	13.8	15.1	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.73,1	92.7%
ORL 97, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	92.6%
DET 93, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,1	91.9%