NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	3.9 [1037]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +12.8%
Brooklyn Nets	86		Comeback	1.6 [692]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -5.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.21	0.01	0.12	15	76%	0.10	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	7	50%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.02	0.06	18	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.09	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	14	52%	0.04	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	31.1	15.6	26.5	2.3	25.6	126.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.9%

BKN -5.1%

CHI +3.3%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.1	121.5	94.5	104.2
season	15.5	15.3		105.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	14.0	16.5	15.0	15.3
BKN	16.1	14.8	16.2	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	65	63	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.19	23	4	19	15.6	14.6	1.07	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Pau Gasol	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	10	7	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.1	15.6	0.48
Taj Gibson	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	14	-1	15.9	14.2	1.68	14.7	18.7	-4.04
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	14	-1	16.2	13.7	2.54	16.3	15.4	0.96
Derrick Rose	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	19	-11	15.9	14.7	1.24	14.3	17.7	-3.36
Nikola Mirotic	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.35	21	6	15	15.2	15.4	-0.19	17.4	14.6	2.79
Aaron Brooks	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.37	19	8	11	15.3	15.4	-0.07	17.6	14.6	3.02
Tony Snell	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.31	16	11	5	14.6	16.3	-1.65	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Nazr Mohammed	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	12.1	15.6	-3.50	16.1	16.0	0.17
Cameron Bairstow	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	8.5	15.6	-7.13	18.7	15.9	2.77
E'Twaun Moore	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	8.5	15.6	-7.13	18.7	15.9	2.77
Doug McDermott	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	9.2	15.7	-6.58	16.8	15.9	0.90

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-25	23	16.8	15.9	0.90	9.2	15.7	-6.58
Jerome Jordan	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-28	29	14.9	16.1	-1.22	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Cory Jefferson	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-27	27	15.2	16.2	-0.97	13.4	15.7	-2.28
Earl Clark	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.29	-13	-14	1	16.7	15.9	0.82	12.2	15.9	-3.66
Mason Plumlee	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-17	7	16.1	16.0	0.13	15.3	15.3	-0.08
Markel Brown	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-23	19	14.3	17.0	-2.71	14.9	15.6	-0.62
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-11	-5	16.8	14.3	2.41	15.6	14.8	0.78
Deron Williams	61	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-10	-7	15.7	16.6	-0.91	16.3	13.4	2.89
Jarrett Jack	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	-6	-15	16.7	15.2	1.43	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Thaddeus Young	51	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-16	5	15.4	16.7	-1.27	15.9	14.5	1.36
Brook Lopez	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-8	-11	16.2	15.4	0.77	15.4	15.1	0.26
Joe Johnson	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	-4	-19	16.2	15.3	0.95	16.1	13.1	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 136, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DET 101, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 98, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%