NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	8.0 [254]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +32.6%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	3.4 [175]		LVP	Langston Galloway (NYK): -26.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.27,-0.15,0.33	-0.07	0.39	-0.01	16	38%	0.37	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.08
Cole Aldrich	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.01	15	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	4	90%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	72%	0.14	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	15%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	52%	0.05	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.26	-0.09	-0.21	-0.03	16	28%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	9	61%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.12	0.00	7	39%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.31,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.01	25	39%	-0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.8	15.7	26.5	2.4	41.8	141.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.0%

NYK +23.0%

NYK +11.3%

ORL -10.5%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.1	87.0	87.8	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	17.0	16.4	18.2	16.6
ORL	15.8	16.5	14.9	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	79	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-8	17	16.3	18.4	-2.06	15.0	14.9	0.10
Jason Smith	59	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-6	13	16.5	16.9	-0.45	15.1	14.8	0.31
Lance Thomas	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	0	1	17.3	15.3	2.00	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Quincy Acy	39	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	2	-3	17.5	15.9	1.60	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	2	-3	16.7	16.3	0.38	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Cleanthony Early	34	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	3	-5	14.0	18.2	-4.20	15.0	15.0	-0.07
Cole Aldrich	45	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	-5	11	17.1	16.2	0.92	15.6	14.3	1.36
Lou Amundson	36	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	4	-7	16.3	16.8	-0.47	15.1	15.0	0.08
Shane Larkin	41	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	12	-23	17.3	16.1	1.21	15.1	15.0	0.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	35	36	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.13	7	-8	15	14.3	15.5	-1.23	17.1	16.3	0.72
Maurice Harkless	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-6	11	18.3	14.6	3.69	19.6	16.3	3.25
Nikola Vucevic	63	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-5	9	14.6	16.0	-1.36	16.5	16.9	-0.33
Channing Frye	17	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-4	7	14.2	15.2	-1.03	14.2	17.3	-3.03
Dewayne Dedmon	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	8	-17	16.3	14.1	2.16	16.0	17.0	-0.95
Elfrid Payton	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-6	11	14.9	15.3	-0.42	17.2	14.9	2.33
Willie Green	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	0	-1	14.2	15.9	-1.72	17.1	16.1	0.97
Aaron Gordon	41	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	3	-7	15.2	14.9	0.29	17.6	15.7	1.89
Victor Oladipo	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	2	-5	15.1	14.5	0.59	15.9	19.1	-3.17
Tobias Harris	63	63	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.57	-12	11	-23	15.3	14.3	1.02	16.2	17.4	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	92.6%
NJN 103, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.14,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.58,0	92.5%
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	91.9%