NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	8.4 [175]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +12.4%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	1.7 [672]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -40.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	17	70%	0.18	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.14
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.15,-0.29,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	16	54%	0.09	2	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.41,-0.4	-0.16	-0.26	-0.01	11	29%	-0.16	4	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.01	24	68%	0.19	3	-0.07	12	100%	0.12
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	81%	0.08	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.07
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	6	17%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	23	40%	-0.22	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	27.2	16.5	25.3	1.7	40.3	133.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +67.7%

HOU -32.7%

NJN +18.6%

HOU -8.1%

NJN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	17.3	15.6	110.8	110.1	102.3
season	14.7	16.8		101.4	100.9
opponent	15.2	16.0		106.4	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.9	15.0	14.0	15.9	14.4
HOU	17.3	21.4	17.3	14.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	43	40	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.35	19	-14	33	14.5	14.3	0.23	17.3	17.3	-0.05
Kerry Kittles	77	74	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.45	14	-9	23	13.0	21.2	-8.19	17.5	16.3	1.17
Kenyon Martin	74	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	6	-7	13.6	17.6	-4.05	17.3	17.4	-0.13
Aaron Williams	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	-2	9	16.5	13.3	3.21	18.1	16.9	1.27
Todd MacCulloch	62	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	7	-9	13.3	16.5	-3.21	16.9	18.1	-1.27
Jason Kidd	70	64	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	12	-19	14.5	14.2	0.31	16.7	18.7	-1.97
Lucious Harris	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	2	1	17.1	12.5	4.55	17.8	16.9	0.95
Jason Collins	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	17.2	13.9	3.33	17.4	17.3	0.12
Keith Van Horn	54	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	15	-25	14.7	14.1	0.62	17.3	17.3	0.07

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	10	10	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-13	21	18.2	17.2	1.01	14.5	14.4	0.10
Kevin Willis	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	3	-11	22.3	16.9	5.41	13.7	14.5	-0.72
Oscar Torres	11	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	6	-17	22.0	16.6	5.36	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Eddie Griffin	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	18.3	15.4	2.82	13.5	16.1	-2.62
Kelvin Cato	80	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-8	11	17.1	19.3	-2.26	14.6	12.9	1.68
Moochie Norris	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	17.4	17.2	0.12	14.9	13.6	1.31
Cuttino Mobley	86	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	16.9	27.7	-10.72	14.4	14.0	0.43
Terence Morris	70	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	16.6	19.9	-3.36	14.4	14.3	0.12
Steve Francis	68	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.5	19.9	-3.40	14.8	13.1	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.14,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0	92.5%
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	91.0%
SAC 119, OKC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.41,0	90.7%