NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	7.1 [387]		MVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): +20.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	1.5 [1034]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MIL): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	13	73%	0.33	6	-0.16	11	82%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	3	100%	0.24	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.07	0.11	0.03	15	62%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	8	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	12	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.11	0.04	22	64%	0.25	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	10	80%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	12	42%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	27%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	26.5	16.5	29.4	2.5	36.9	136.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.8%

CLE +5.8%

CLE +18.5%

MIL -11.7%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.1	113.0	107.6	104.2
season	15.9	14.5		108.7	100.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	16.5	16.4	19.4	16.9
MIL	15.4	12.3	14.2	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	17.6	13.3	4.29	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Kyrie Irving	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	4	-3	17.0	16.4	0.58	14.1	16.2	-2.16
Iman Shumpert	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	16.9	17.0	-0.13	15.4	13.5	1.84
LeBron James	74	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	17.1	16.3	0.73	14.5	13.6	0.93
Tristan Thompson	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	2	1	15.7	18.2	-2.41	14.8	14.0	0.80
Kevin Love	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	2	1	17.1	16.5	0.64	14.4	14.4	-0.08
Matthew Dellavedova	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	-2	9	16.1	17.2	-1.08	15.0	14.1	0.89
Timofey Mozgov	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	5	-5	17.5	16.5	1.02	14.0	14.6	-0.62
James Jones	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	14.6	17.3	-2.69	11.3	14.8	-3.53

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	59	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-13	21	14.3	14.5	-0.21	17.0	16.8	0.12
Miles Plumlee	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-5	5	14.6	14.3	0.29	17.5	16.8	0.71
John Henson	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	14.7	14.1	0.63	16.8	17.0	-0.24
Khris Middleton	71	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-13	21	13.6	17.1	-3.58	17.2	15.8	1.44
Tyler Ennis	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	13.9	14.5	-0.62	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Jerryd Bayless	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	15.0	13.9	1.18	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Ersan Ilyasova	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	7	-19	13.6	14.9	-1.29	15.7	17.9	-2.17
Michael Carter-Williams	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.9	12.9	1.96	17.3	15.8	1.54
Jared Dudley	60	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.8	13.5	1.30	17.4	16.1	1.30
O.J. Mayo	50	50	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.24	-16	11	-27	14.3	14.5	-0.26	16.7	17.2	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.6%
SAS 88, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0	92.5%
WAS 109, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.4%