NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	113		Excitement	3.2 [1137]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (NOP): +10.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.5 [1013]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): -8.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	12	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	29%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	9	82%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.06	10	76%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	10	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	23.4	15.6	24.2	1.8	29.2	120.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +43.6%

NOP +1.8%

LAL -0.8%

NOP +5.3%

NOP +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAL	NBA	NOP	LAL	NBA
this game	17.6	16.2	15.1	132.9	108.2	104.2
season	15.8	15.5		106.3	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.2		108.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	18.7	18.7	17.2	16.2	17.6
LAL	15.6	19.2	15.5	15.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	8	5	18.4	15.9	2.45	16.6	15.3	1.34
Ryan Anderson	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	5	11	16.0	19.1	-3.16	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Eric Gordon	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	10	1	18.7	16.3	2.41	16.4	16.1	0.32
Tyreke Evans	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	9	3	17.9	17.3	0.65	16.6	15.7	0.90
Norris Cole	48	46	0.29	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	10	1	19.0	15.9	3.01	16.5	15.9	0.58
Dante Cunningham	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	10	1	17.5	17.7	-0.19	16.3	16.2	0.12
Quincy Pondexter	30	31	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	13	-5	17.6	17.7	-0.12	17.6	15.4	2.22
Alexis Ajinca	24	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	13	-5	17.2	17.8	-0.67	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Omer Asik	38	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	17	-13	19.6	16.1	3.49	16.8	15.8	1.07
Toney Douglas	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	13	-5	16.7	18.3	-1.52	15.4	16.8	-1.47
Luke Babbitt	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	11.9	18.2	-6.31	11.7	16.6	-4.93
Jimmer Fredette	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	7.8	18.3	-10.46	11.8	16.5	-4.71
Jeff Withey	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.9	18.1	-5.27	12.7	16.6	-3.85

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-14	7	16.9	15.8	1.10	17.7	17.6	0.01
Tarik Black	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-10	-1	15.8	16.9	-1.13	17.7	17.6	0.08
Jabari Brown	55	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-9	-3	15.4	17.8	-2.42	16.9	19.1	-2.12
Jordan Hill	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	16.9	15.8	1.13	17.6	17.7	-0.08
Jeremy Lin	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-10	-1	16.9	15.2	1.71	17.7	17.6	0.13
Jordan Clarkson	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	-7	-7	16.3	16.1	0.21	17.6	17.7	-0.10
Wesley Johnson	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-9	-3	16.4	16.1	0.30	19.2	16.0	3.23
Ryan Kelly	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-7	-7	15.8	16.9	-1.10	17.6	17.7	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-7	-7	16.3	16.2	0.06	17.1	18.5	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 115, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DET 89, DEN 63	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NOH 93, PHI 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%