inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 115 Excitement3.5 [1127] MVPHarrison Barnes (GSW): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks 93 Comeback1.5 [285] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -20.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.000.001468%0.1300.0000%0.00
Carl Landry0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.170.000.071083%0.121-0.033100%0.01
Jarrett Jack0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.01-0.051350%0.081-0.0000%0.00
David Lee0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.011471%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Charles Jenkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04386%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Richard Jefferson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.060,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.042042%0.044-0.103100%0.01
Klay Thompson-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.000.03939%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00829%-0.041-0.031100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.001161%0.071-0.03650%-0.02
Ivan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.021065%0.082-0.06333%-0.02
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.06275%-0.0000.00887%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01167%-0.001-0.004100%-0.00
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01847%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.02650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Louis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.021353%-0.012-0.00475%-0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.001138%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.22-0.01-0.021212%-0.143-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.729.214.422.92.427.3122.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +48.2%
GSW +3.7%
GSW +1.4%
ATL -5.3%
GSW +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWATLNBAGSWATLNBA
this game14.314.315.4112.793.9104.1
season14.615.1104.6102.6
opponent15.515.3102.8103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.612.615.116.414.3
ATL15.913.215.512.914.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry80770.450.050.40-0.142021813.716.6-2.9614.514.00.50
Jarrett Jack62600.420.080.33-0.111841414.114.6-0.5114.713.70.99
Carl Landry60570.390.110.29-0.192021814.214.5-0.3215.113.31.88
David Lee70690.390.110.28-0.081661014.015.0-1.0014.713.51.26
Harrison Barnes66630.330.170.17-0.221931614.613.80.7414.613.90.63
Klay Thompson46470.190.31-0.12-0.281661015.013.81.1714.714.10.60
Draymond Green45430.140.36-0.210.14022-2214.014.6-0.5613.415.1-1.63
Richard Jefferson15140.070.43-0.360.04121-2014.814.20.5711.314.8-3.56
Andris Biedrins29300.060.44-0.39-0.00220-1814.314.3-0.0014.614.20.42
Charles Jenkins17170.060.44-0.39-0.00220-1815.114.20.9613.614.5-0.91
Kent Bazemore1090.000.50-0.500.06-224-2616.314.12.2011.814.6-2.82
Jeremy Tyler1090.000.50-0.500.06-224-2616.314.12.2011.814.6-2.82

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johan Petro1414-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-212012.414.7-2.3115.914.11.87
Mike Scott2020-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-222212.514.8-2.3116.213.82.41
Anthony Tolliver2829-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-263012.215.2-2.9215.913.72.21
John Jenkins3334-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-181413.714.7-0.9716.413.33.06
Zaza Pachulia66-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-181416.714.22.4716.714.22.50
DeShawn Stevenson4849-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-161013.615.1-1.5213.615.0-1.43
Devin Harris2930-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-11016.613.43.1214.914.10.78
Al Horford5961-0.26-0.24-0.010.18-15-7-814.813.71.1213.815.1-1.35
Louis Williams5354-0.32-0.18-0.130.15-16-6-1015.513.02.4714.913.71.22
Ivan Johnson5155-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-10-215.513.12.3714.614.00.66
Josh Smith5354-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-8-614.314.4-0.1312.816.1-3.30
Jeff Teague5357-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-8-613.914.8-0.9013.415.5-2.18
Kyle Korver4847-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-5-1214.014.7-0.6713.315.2-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 115, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
UTA 106, VAN 680.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
TOR 95, NOH 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%