inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement3.4 [1099] MVPJon Barry (DET): +4.3%
Denver Nuggets 63 Comeback1.5 [867] LVPJames Posey (DEN): -13.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02575%0.042-0.002100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.020,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.100.010.091081%0.062-0.03667%-0.00
Mehmet Okur0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00460%0.0200.002100%0.01
Michael Curry0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02367%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00475%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Hubert Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011454%0.043-0.0400%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03456%0.013-0.0310%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.01945%-0.051-0.00475%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01739%-0.032-0.05475%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05520%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.01450%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011138%-0.0500.00450%-0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01357%-0.012-0.05850%-0.02
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03737%-0.043-0.032100%0.01
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.07712%-0.052-0.022100%-0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.010.02757%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01812%-0.0800.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.020.071557%-0.064-0.07771%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.034.219.629.43.527.5142.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +47.6%
DET +0.9%
DEN -6.2%
DET +6.5%
DET +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game16.315.415.596.770.0101.6
season16.815.7101.790.4
opponent15.315.699.497.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.012.618.716.716.3
DEN16.315.716.413.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton54530.440.060.37-0.152061418.013.94.0716.813.33.45
Chauncey Billups51490.400.100.30-0.182061417.614.72.9316.813.73.07
Clifford Robinson54530.370.130.24-0.161881015.317.6-2.3015.614.90.70
Ben Wallace60580.340.160.18-0.16179817.713.64.0816.014.11.91
Jon Barry38360.230.27-0.040.03719-1213.918.0-4.1115.115.5-0.45
Corliss Williamson36360.200.30-0.11-0.07917-813.218.2-5.0313.616.5-2.95
Mehmet Okur33320.180.32-0.130.04521-1613.318.0-4.6914.415.9-1.42
Michael Curry45450.140.36-0.23-0.221214-218.813.94.9716.114.61.47
Zeljko Rebraca29290.110.39-0.28-0.07620-1418.915.13.7715.415.30.09
Chucky Atkins41410.100.40-0.30-0.08620-1414.717.6-2.9313.716.8-3.07
Tayshaun Prince11100.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1816.016.3-0.3211.915.8-3.89
Hubert Davis880.000.50-0.50-0.18620-1415.116.4-1.2712.015.7-3.68

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donnell Harvey880.00-0.500.500.18-6-201412.015.7-3.6815.116.4-1.27
Kenny Satterfield1011-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-221811.915.8-3.8916.016.3-0.32
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2223-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-14214.215.7-1.5514.916.7-1.83
Nene4347-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-14215.415.30.0315.517.1-1.53
Chris Whitney3737-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-211615.915.00.9116.516.10.34
Rodney White2832-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-12-214.915.5-0.6215.416.7-1.34
Mark Blount3231-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-181014.815.6-0.7918.515.23.32
Chris Andersen2830-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-17815.715.20.5214.017.4-3.39
Junior Harrington4344-0.31-0.19-0.130.18-17-9-815.715.00.6616.216.4-0.19
James Posey6867-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-11-415.614.70.8916.615.31.32
Ryan Bowen6262-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-15415.714.51.1916.915.11.75
Juwan Howard6968-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-17-9-815.813.82.0216.914.42.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 91, CHI 740.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
PHI 106, LAC 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
NOP 113, LAL 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%