NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	15.5 [4]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +18.4%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	33.6 [46]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -56.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.03	24	61%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
PJ Hairston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.03	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Mo Williams	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.08,-0.05,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.36,-0.41	-0.06	-0.34	0.00	26	44%	-0.08	4	-0.33	7	86%	0.03
Kemba Walker	-0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42	-0.16	-0.27	-0.01	17	25%	-0.38	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.11	0.00	9	44%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	9	50%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.12
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.35,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.14,-0.25,-0.4,-0.34,-0.41,-0.27,-0.35,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	30	47%	0.20	6	-0.42	8	75%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	0.07	-0.34	0.00	11	62%	-0.15	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.42,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.57	-0.57	-0.10	-0.47	0.00	18	44%	-0.43	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	32.2	15.6	28.4	2.4	43.5	1.5	15.2	1.8	13.3	177.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +24.2%

CHA -39.1%

WAS +91.5%

CHA -38.9%

WAS +12.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.1	87.0	91.7	104.2
season	15.6	15.1		98.9	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	13.7	13.4	13.5	14.9	16.6	14.2
WAS	12.0	13.8	13.1	16.4	18.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	53	51	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.14	2	-5	7	13.8	14.5	-0.70	12.6	15.7	-3.08
Gerald Henderson	82	81	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.31	16	-19	35	14.6	13.5	1.07	14.9	13.4	1.53
Al Jefferson	80	82	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-11	19	15.3	12.3	3.00	15.2	12.7	2.50
Jason Maxiell	33	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	4	-11	12.9	14.7	-1.84	13.0	14.9	-1.95
Jeff Taylor	3	1	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	1	-5	3.0	14.5	-11.51	6.0	14.5	-8.49
Kemba Walker	96	94	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-7	11	14.8	12.3	2.43	14.5	14.1	0.38
Lance Stephenson	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	12.3	14.8	-2.43	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Marvin Williams	81	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	14.7	13.2	1.50	14.5	14.3	0.21
Bismack Biyombo	43	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	8	-19	12.3	15.3	-3.00	12.7	15.2	-2.50
Mo Williams	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	3	-9	14.5	13.5	1.01	15.1	12.9	2.17
PJ Hairston	24	24	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	11	-25	14.2	14.2	-0.08	14.5	14.4	0.16

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	80	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.34	13	-10	23	14.9	13.3	1.60	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Rasual Butler	49	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-5	13	16.4	13.1	3.33	14.8	13.8	1.03
Ramon Sessions	42	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-11	25	14.3	14.5	-0.16	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Kevin Seraphin	27	26	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-8	19	15.3	14.2	1.18	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Bradley Beal	87	88	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	5	-7	14.7	13.7	0.95	14.9	12.5	2.35
Martell Webster	27	28	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	-4	11	12.4	15.0	-2.59	12.7	14.7	-1.91
Marcin Gortat	82	86	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.38	-6	9	-15	13.5	16.4	-2.93	14.2	14.4	-0.25
John Wall	100	104	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	8	-13	14.3	15.0	-0.76	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Will Bynum	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	15.2	14.4	0.82	15.5	14.2	1.34
Paul Pierce	50	52	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	15	-27	13.4	15.2	-1.78	14.1	14.3	-0.19
Nene	42	43	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.18	-12	15	-27	13.7	14.8	-1.12	14.6	14.0	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.5,0.32,0.22,0.57,0.74,0.5,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	86.8%
LAC 119, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.17,0	86.4%
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	86.3%