NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	10.9 [42]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +35.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	5.0 [391]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -41.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36	0.13	0.23	-0.00	9	95%	0.47	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.10
JaKarr Sampson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Furkan Aldemir	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	12	57%	0.06	1	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Henry Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Nerlens Noel	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21	0.02	-0.23	-0.00	10	56%	0.05	2	-0.25	5	80%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.3	-0.02	-0.27	-0.00	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.37	1	0%	-0.03
Ish Smith	-0.41	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.3,-0.41,-0.41	-0.15	-0.25	0.02	14	43%	-0.07	7	-0.34	2	100%	0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	-0.00	5	57%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	17	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	19	45%	-0.01	3	-0.15	9	89%	0.09
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.33	-0.33	-0.04	-0.31	-0.01	27	45%	-0.24	3	-0.09	19	89%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	33.6	15.6	30.7	2.0	40.1	147.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -115.5%

SAC +36.3%

SAC +41.2%

SAC +94.8%

PHI -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.1	107.1	105.9	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		94.3	103.7
opponent	14.8	14.8		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	12.7	17.9	12.6	14.6
SAC	13.6	13.5	14.8	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	41	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-2	3	13.6	15.3	-1.66	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Furkan Aldemir	21	21	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	15.0	14.5	0.56	14.7	14.1	0.65
Jerami Grant	44	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	5	-11	16.5	13.1	3.49	15.0	13.6	1.36
Robert Covington	57	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.40	11	-12	23	13.3	16.3	-3.00	14.6	13.7	0.91
Thomas Robinson	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	8	-17	16.1	13.6	2.55	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Henry Sims	13	13	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	8	-17	20.5	13.7	6.83	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Isaiah Canaan	37	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	4	-9	15.7	14.0	1.71	14.3	14.2	0.10
Nerlens Noel	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.58	7	-8	15	13.0	17.4	-4.46	14.2	14.2	-0.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	61	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-7	13	13.9	15.8	-1.88	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Ish Smith	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.48	3	-4	7	13.9	15.9	-2.02	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Hollis Thompson	54	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.54	-5	4	-9	15.2	13.9	1.31	14.0	14.5	-0.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	29	27	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.71	8	-7	15	14.9	13.9	0.98	16.8	13.8	3.04
Ben McLemore	70	69	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.60	6	-5	11	13.8	15.1	-1.34	15.0	13.7	1.35
Ray McCallum	67	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.53	8	-7	15	13.9	14.7	-0.81	15.0	13.8	1.23
Rudy Gay	87	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	-2	5	14.1	14.9	-0.85	14.8	13.7	1.03
DeMarcus Cousins	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	3	-5	14.3	13.9	0.37	13.8	17.2	-3.38
Reggie Evans	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	13.7	14.2	-0.58	14.9	14.6	0.31
Jason Thompson	39	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	-1	3	14.4	14.1	0.26	15.7	13.9	1.79
Nik Stauskas	43	44	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.09	-6	7	-13	13.9	14.4	-0.59	13.1	15.8	-2.65
Andre Miller	34	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	8	-15	14.7	13.9	0.81	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Omri Casspi	51	50	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.15	-11	12	-23	14.7	13.7	0.99	14.2	15.0	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.47,1	90.4%
HOU 80, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.28,0.34,0.58,1	89.7%
MIN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	89.6%