NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	7.6 [311]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +16.2%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.6 [1229]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -7.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.19	5	-0.21	10	80%	0.03
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	0.09	-0.09	0.03	13	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	61%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	22	55%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.00	14	54%	0.26	6	-0.18	7	100%	0.15
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	2	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.0	30.2	16.8	22.1	3.5	40.3	138.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +47.9%

GSW +5.9%

LAL -18.7%

GSW +11.6%

GSW +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	12.7	15.1	101.9	106.9	104.2
season	15.5	13.6		101.9	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.7		99.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	13.4	19.8	15.2	15.5
GSW	12.3	12.8	13.5	12.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	41	40	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-13	23	15.9	15.2	0.67	12.0	13.2	-1.13
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-13	23	15.6	15.4	0.21	12.0	13.6	-1.53
Jordan Hill	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.8	15.0	0.75	12.2	13.7	-1.57
Wayne Ellington	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.8	14.9	0.93	12.2	13.6	-1.31
Jabari Brown	44	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	5	-13	15.4	15.6	-0.20	13.4	12.3	1.07
Ryan Kelly	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	4	-11	15.4	15.5	-0.14	12.9	12.7	0.16
Wesley Johnson	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-5	7	15.3	16.3	-0.97	12.7	12.7	0.06
Ed Davis	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	4	-11	15.0	15.8	-0.75	13.7	12.2	1.57
Jeremy Lin	48	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	8	-19	15.1	15.8	-0.73	13.0	12.5	0.55
Carlos Boozer	48	47	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	8	-19	15.4	15.5	-0.11	13.9	11.8	2.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	63	65	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-12	27	13.0	12.2	0.79	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Klay Thompson	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	5	-7	12.8	12.5	0.34	15.5	15.4	0.15
Stephen Curry	70	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	5	-7	12.4	13.5	-1.13	15.8	14.7	1.14
Andrew Bogut	63	64	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	6	-9	12.7	12.7	0.04	16.2	14.3	1.96
Shaun Livingston	35	37	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-4	11	13.3	12.4	0.85	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Festus Ezeli	16	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-7	17	13.1	12.7	0.39	13.9	15.8	-1.82
Draymond Green	74	74	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.41	-8	11	-19	12.6	13.1	-0.47	15.1	16.3	-1.16
David Lee	26	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	13.0	12.6	0.36	15.4	15.5	-0.04
James Michael McAdoo	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	1	1	15.1	12.5	2.61	18.5	15.2	3.35
Justin Holiday	23	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	0	3	12.7	12.8	-0.10	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Harrison Barnes	52	53	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	13	-23	11.9	13.6	-1.75	15.0	16.0	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.6,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.3%