NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	6.2 [581]		MVP	Derrick Williams (SAC): +17.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	114		Comeback	14.5 [49]		LVP	Andre Miller (SAC): -23.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.05	-0.02	9	68%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.13	0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	24	57%	0.18	3	-0.05	20	75%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	17	55%	0.06	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Ben McLemore	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	12	37%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	10	18%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	17	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	11	36%	-0.00	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	1.6	30.4	15.8	31.7	2.5	43.4	157.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +59.9%

SAC -21.1%

PHI +8.3%

PHI +0.4%

PHI +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	15.1	101.9	107.5	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		103.7	94.3
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	12.6	16.5	12.8	13.7
PHI	11.9	14.1	13.5	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	91	90	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-10	13	13.3	16.4	-3.02	13.6	13.4	0.14
Carl Landry	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-1	-5	14.6	13.5	1.16	13.6	13.5	0.11
Rudy Gay	90	89	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-11	15	13.2	17.1	-3.88	13.7	12.9	0.73
Ray McCallum	70	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-7	7	13.3	14.6	-1.33	13.2	14.3	-1.18
Ben McLemore	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	3	-13	14.4	12.5	1.93	12.2	16.1	-3.87
Andre Miller	47	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-6	5	13.9	13.7	0.20	15.2	12.1	3.14
Jason Thompson	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	14.7	13.1	1.63	14.0	13.3	0.68
Derrick Williams	65	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-4	1	13.4	14.2	-0.78	13.8	13.1	0.70
Omri Casspi	27	28	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	8	-23	14.6	13.4	1.14	13.1	13.7	-0.56

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	63	62	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.35	17	-10	27	13.7	13.3	0.35	14.0	13.4	0.51
Ish Smith	52	51	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-4	15	14.7	12.4	2.27	14.0	13.5	0.58
Henry Sims	22	22	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	14.4	13.3	1.02	16.0	13.1	2.91
Hollis Thompson	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	8	-9	15.1	12.4	2.74	14.3	13.3	0.92
Thomas Robinson	41	41	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	9	-11	15.0	12.7	2.31	14.3	13.4	0.98
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-1	9	13.0	14.5	-1.51	13.4	14.4	-1.06
Nerlens Noel	68	67	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	12.6	15.2	-2.58	13.3	14.5	-1.15
Robert Covington	67	66	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	12.9	14.7	-1.88	13.2	14.7	-1.59
Isaiah Canaan	54	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	12.4	14.7	-2.27	13.7	13.8	-0.17
Furkan Aldemir	12	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	16	-25	15.5	13.3	2.19	11.9	14.0	-2.06
JaKarr Sampson	37	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	12	-17	12.6	14.0	-1.39	13.5	13.9	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.74,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	90.0%
DEN 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	89.9%
MIA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	89.7%