NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	6.3 [562]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): +13.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	5.9 [537]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -8.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	23	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.03	12	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	14	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	26	60%	0.17	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	28.8	19.0	26.4	3.4	32.2	138.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.3%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +25.9%

LAL +6.2%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.5	115.1	122.6	106.4
season	15.6	14.9		108.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		102.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	16.3	15.1	14.6	15.0
LAL	15.1	17.1	17.6	14.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	52	53	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-19	31	15.2	14.9	0.25	16.3	15.5	0.79
Gerald Green	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	12.4	15.3	-2.88	16.0	15.9	0.08
DeSagana Diop	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-11	15	16.5	14.4	2.03	16.7	15.6	1.06
Jose Juan Barea	40	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-10	13	14.6	15.4	-0.78	16.9	15.2	1.76
Erick Dampier	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.82	16.0	15.9	0.11
Brandon Bass	40	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	14.5	15.5	-0.95	15.8	16.0	-0.14
Jason Kidd	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.7	12.8	2.91	15.5	17.3	-1.76
Dirk Nowitzki	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.2	14.6	0.63	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	1	-9	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Devean George	39	38	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	10	-27	15.0	15.1	-0.12	15.3	16.4	-1.12

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	57	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-3	13	16.5	15.0	1.55	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Kobe Bryant	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-5	17	15.4	18.5	-3.11	15.6	12.4	3.15
Pau Gasol	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	15.2	18.9	-3.69	15.2	14.1	1.11
Lamar Odom	43	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	8	-9	15.0	16.7	-1.68	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Derek Fisher	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	0	7	15.8	16.2	-0.35	15.3	14.5	0.82
Andrew Bynum	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	2	3	17.3	12.5	4.81	15.7	13.1	2.63
Jordan Farmar	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	7	-7	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Sasha Vujacic	16	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.12	-5	12	-17	18.5	15.4	3.11	12.4	15.6	-3.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	15.0	16.5	-1.55	16.1	14.4	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	92.0%
BOS 96, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	91.9%
VAN 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	91.6%