NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	5.3 [775]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +32.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	4.8 [198]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -7.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.04	7	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	-0.02	0.12	15	68%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	7	58%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	21	43%	0.04	5	-0.09	5	40%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.19	0.12	-0.02	12	81%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.01	10	71%	0.28	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	21	55%	0.19	4	-0.07	14	79%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.3	33.3	15.5	25.4	2.7	36.3	143.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.7%

PHI +21.5%

PHI +1.9%

PHI +13.2%

MIA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.4	108.9	120.2	104.5
season	16.0	15.5		102.4	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	13.6	19.8	16.5	16.4
PHI	14.3	15.9	14.5	18.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	61	59	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-14	19	16.1	17.0	-0.85	16.7	14.0	2.75
Chris Quinn	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	5.0	16.5	-11.52	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Gary Payton	57	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	18.0	13.6	4.39	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Udonis Haslem	85	83	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-8	7	16.2	19.4	-3.19	16.0	12.5	3.52
Antoine Walker	61	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-10	11	16.4	16.3	0.07	16.2	15.0	1.17
Jason Kapono	18	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	1	-11	13.6	17.1	-3.54	13.5	16.4	-2.94
Dorell Wright	55	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.19	16.1	15.2	0.94
Alonzo Mourning	30	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	7	-23	16.9	16.1	0.77	14.0	16.7	-2.69
Dwyane Wade	82	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.05	-20	11	-31	16.5	15.0	1.52	15.7	17.1	-1.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	63	62	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.18	20	-11	31	16.4	14.2	2.20	17.6	13.8	3.78
Kyle Korver	58	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.25	16	-7	23	15.3	16.7	-1.42	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Steven Hunter	39	39	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-3	15	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.5	16.3	0.26
Allen Iverson	85	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	16.0	10.7	5.27	16.4	15.2	1.19
Chris Webber	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	1	7	15.2	16.9	-1.71	16.8	15.6	1.23
Willie Green	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	6	-3	13.9	16.6	-2.78	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Samuel Dalembert	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	8	-7	16.3	15.4	0.92	16.9	16.1	0.81
Rodney Carney	23	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	16	-23	14.1	16.4	-2.29	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Kevin Ollie	56	56	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.22	-15	24	-39	17.3	13.2	4.14	15.8	17.3	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.48,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
DEN 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	92.7%