NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.4 [336]		MVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): +14.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	2.4 [550]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	7	69%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.02	0.09	0.01	0.07	16	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	10	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07
Patrick Beverley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	12	21%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	19	42%	-0.03	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	20	63%	0.24	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	64%	0.16	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.03	-0.04	13	30%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	16	39%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	27.4	16.4	24.6	3.4	39.2	139.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.9%

POR +12.5%

POR +29.9%

HOU -27.2%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.6	15.1	101.0	104.0	104.2
season	14.3	15.3		105.6	106.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		102.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.0	15.6	13.8	11.6	13.2
POR	15.7	16.3	13.9	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Dorsey	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.0	1.23	16.8	15.4	1.38
Donatas Motiejunas	57	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-4	3	14.0	12.0	2.06	15.7	15.4	0.34
Patrick Beverley	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-7	9	13.4	12.6	0.73	15.5	15.8	-0.29
James Harden	81	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.28	2	-7	9	12.8	14.8	-2.04	14.9	19.2	-4.28
Terrence Jones	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	13.0	13.6	-0.53	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Jason Terry	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	2	-9	12.6	13.4	-0.73	15.8	15.5	0.29
Corey Brewer	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	11.7	14.7	-2.97	16.2	14.9	1.31
Trevor Ariza	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	13.7	11.5	2.14	16.3	13.6	2.62
Josh Smith	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.05	-14	9	-23	13.4	13.0	0.37	14.9	16.1	-1.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	15.1	18.7	-3.66	13.2	13.1	0.02
Steve Blake	41	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-8	21	15.7	15.6	0.08	12.1	14.0	-1.93
CJ McCollum	16	17	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-2	9	15.2	15.7	-0.51	12.0	13.4	-1.40
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.31	-1	6	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.23	12.5	14.7	-2.16
Robin Lopez	63	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	4	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.13	14.5	11.0	3.47
Chris Kaman	35	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	1	3	16.6	15.1	1.55	12.0	13.8	-1.81
Damian Lillard	73	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	6	-7	15.8	15.1	0.70	13.3	12.8	0.47
Dorell Wright	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	2	1	19.1	14.9	4.19	15.4	12.7	2.65
Meyers Leonard	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	15.1	15.7	-0.60	15.7	12.7	3.09
Arron Afflalo	74	71	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	14	-23	15.1	17.0	-1.84	13.4	12.6	0.82
Alonzo Gee	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	17.0	15.4	1.57	10.1	13.5	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
SAS 85, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.96,1	93.4%
TOR 97, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%