NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	5.8 [670]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +13.8%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	2.2 [588]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -12.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	15	74%	0.20	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Cory Joseph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	14	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.04	10	59%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	13	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.18	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.04	0.07	14	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	28.6	15.4	25.4	2.5	33.2	130.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.7%

CHI +10.7%

CHI +8.6%

TOR -2.2%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.9	102.1	107.2	105.1
season	16.1	14.8		107.2	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	15.5	16.7	15.5	15.6
CHI	12.7	14.5	16.0	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	50	52	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.23	12	-19	31	14.4	17.0	-2.68	15.2	13.4	1.75
Luis Scola	56	57	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-13	19	15.3	16.1	-0.76	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Kyle Lowry	81	82	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-19	31	15.0	19.1	-4.03	14.5	13.7	0.85
DeMar DeRozan	70	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-15	23	14.7	18.2	-3.43	15.2	12.0	3.15
Jonas Valanciunas	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-12	17	14.7	16.3	-1.64	16.8	12.7	4.12
Bismack Biyombo	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	2	-11	16.3	15.2	1.18	13.2	15.2	-2.01
James Johnson	14	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	2	-11	17.4	15.3	2.02	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Terrence Ross	58	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	8	-23	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.5	14.2	0.32
Patrick Patterson	44	44	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.16	-20	13	-33	17.2	14.2	3.01	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Cory Joseph	25	26	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.02	-25	18	-43	19.1	14.4	4.73	11.7	15.4	-3.62

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	52	51	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.22	16	-9	25	14.8	13.9	0.96	16.9	14.2	2.70
Tony Snell	56	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-6	19	14.5	14.2	0.24	16.4	14.7	1.73
Aaron Brooks	54	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	14.1	14.7	-0.65	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Kirk Hinrich	20	20	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-7	21	10.0	15.5	-5.52	19.3	14.6	4.71
Taj Gibson	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	2	3	14.3	14.8	-0.53	15.7	15.5	0.13
Derrick Rose	60	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	7	-7	14.6	14.0	0.62	15.0	16.6	-1.58
Jimmy Butler	71	70	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	15	-23	15.4	11.6	3.83	14.7	18.2	-3.43
Pau Gasol	60	60	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	11	-15	14.6	14.0	0.66	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Nikola Mirotic	35	35	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	17	-27	13.8	14.7	-0.86	14.5	16.3	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 84, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
UTA 105, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
HOU 100, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,1	93.3%