NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	7.0 [399]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +17.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	9.1 [380]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	18	69%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.08	-0.00	11	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	15	41%	0.10	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Sacre	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.01	16	67%	0.23	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	11	58%	0.17	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.09
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	83%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	12	47%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.11
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	25.2	15.4	27.2	1.7	46.2	137.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -19.1%

MEM +41.5%

MEM +14.7%

MEM +14.0%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.1	93.8	105.4	104.2
season	15.5	15.9		101.9	103.8
opponent	15.2	14.7		100.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	15.3	15.9	15.1	15.6
MEM	15.7	16.0	14.6	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	18	17	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-17	27	15.4	15.7	-0.24	16.1	14.7	1.31
Ed Davis	36	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-5	3	17.9	14.3	3.65	15.3	14.8	0.56
Robert Sacre	31	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	0	-7	14.8	16.0	-1.22	16.4	14.4	2.07
Ryan Kelly	35	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	1	-9	15.6	15.6	-0.01	16.8	14.1	2.74
Wesley Johnson	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-13	19	16.7	14.2	2.43	15.2	14.7	0.48
Jeremy Lin	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	0	-7	16.4	14.7	1.68	14.2	16.0	-1.88
Wayne Ellington	71	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	14.7	18.4	-3.68	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Carlos Boozer	59	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	14.7	17.1	-2.35	15.0	14.9	0.11
Jordan Hill	48	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	0	-7	15.6	15.6	0.02	13.5	16.7	-3.21
Jordan Clarkson	73	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	4	-15	15.2	16.9	-1.62	15.0	14.8	0.22

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	64	67	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.39	15	-8	23	15.2	14.4	0.86	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Marc Gasol	69	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-7	21	14.7	15.8	-1.12	15.7	15.4	0.35
Tony Allen	54	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	6	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.23	16.7	14.0	2.71
Zach Randolph	70	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	3	1	15.4	13.8	1.60	15.7	15.3	0.47
Jeff Green	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	16.0	12.8	3.20	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Courtney Lee	50	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.21	10	-3	13	15.0	14.9	0.11	15.5	15.8	-0.21
Beno Udrih	18	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	8	-9	13.9	15.2	-1.30	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Vince Carter	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	10	-13	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Kosta Koufos	32	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.06	-3	10	-13	15.4	14.7	0.69	16.3	15.3	1.02
Nick Calathes	27	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	19	-31	13.0	15.8	-2.76	14.8	16.0	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.58,1	91.2%
POR 80, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.91,1	90.1%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.67,0.73,1	89.8%