NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	9.7 [88]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHI): +33.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Comeback	16.5 [385]		LVP	Nerlens Noel (PHI): -40.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.34	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.16	-0.02	19	62%	0.34	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Jerami Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	7	58%	0.19	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.05
JaKarr Sampson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0	0.25	-0.19	0.05	16	89%	0.16	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Henry Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Thomas Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	21	35%	-0.22	1	-0.06	9	67%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.41,-0.41	-0.15	-0.26	-0.01	10	33%	-0.20	5	-0.21	4	50%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.22	-0.00	13	59%	0.32	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.01	0.02	33	57%	0.21	4	-0.10	20	80%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.08	0.03	15	61%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	1.7	30.3	16.4	26.6	2.3	31.4	2.4	25.2	165.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.3%

PHI -11.2%

PHI -12.7%

OKC +26.2%

PHI -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	OKC	NBA	PHI	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	12.6	15.1	100.9	106.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.5		94.3	105.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		103.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.1	14.5	15.8	14.3	15.0	14.7
OKC	11.1	13.2	13.6	14.0	10.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	78	77	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.38	17	-22	39	14.9	14.2	0.78	12.8	12.2	0.57
Jerami Grant	60	60	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.32	15	-20	35	14.5	14.9	-0.43	13.5	11.6	1.87
Nerlens Noel	89	90	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.32	12	-17	29	14.2	16.2	-2.07	12.6	12.6	-0.00
JaKarr Sampson	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.4	14.4	1.00	14.0	12.1	1.96
Thomas Robinson	47	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.6	0.26	13.0	12.4	0.60
Hollis Thompson	43	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	10	-25	13.5	15.3	-1.80	12.0	13.0	-1.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	86	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-7	9	14.3	15.6	-1.23	12.8	12.1	0.69
Ish Smith	34	31	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.13	-25	20	-45	16.8	13.8	2.95	10.5	13.4	-2.95
Isaiah Canaan	92	94	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.81	5	-10	15	14.1	16.6	-2.50	12.7	12.3	0.36
Henry Sims	23	21	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.13	-27	22	-49	17.3	14.0	3.27	9.9	13.2	-3.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	58	58	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.23	28	-23	51	12.0	13.2	-1.26	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Dion Waiters	86	87	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-12	29	12.1	14.1	-2.01	14.9	13.9	1.00
Anthony Morrow	34	35	0.83	-0.33	1.16	-0.14	33	-28	61	9.8	13.8	-4.03	16.5	13.9	2.66
Mitch McGary	45	47	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.05	26	-21	47	11.9	13.1	-1.18	15.3	14.2	1.11
D.J. Augustin	78	80	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-8	21	13.0	11.8	1.15	14.8	14.4	0.36
Russell Westbrook	94	94	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.31	-13	18	-31	13.0	11.0	2.05	14.0	17.6	-3.60
Serge Ibaka	64	64	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.25	-21	26	-47	13.7	11.3	2.33	14.8	14.5	0.27
Kyle Singler	36	36	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.17	-20	25	-45	13.6	12.2	1.37	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Enes Kanter	46	47	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	0.04	-22	27	-49	13.6	12.0	1.58	14.7	14.6	0.08
Andre Roberson	27	25	-0.76	1.26	-2.03	-0.15	-21	26	-47	13.8	12.3	1.52	13.5	15.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.46,0.46,0.72,0.75,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.84,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	87.6%
NYK 111, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.5,0.75,0.81,0.9,1,1	87.3%
BOS 111, LAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.95,0.96,1	86.1%