NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	8.6 [168]		MVP	Nate Robinson (CHI): +50.9%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	14.3 [36]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NYK): -17.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.03	0.18	-0.07	34	46%	0.29	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.17
Iman Shumpert	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	4	78%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	17	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.10	-0.02	27	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	4	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.24	0.27	0.00	18	76%	0.58	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.09
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	-0.00	-0.00	15	63%	0.13	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.14,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.05	-0.01	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	14	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	11	43%	0.06	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	33.2	18.7	30.1	2.8	40.2	2.4	13.3	167.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.3%

CHI +8.7%

NYK -10.3%

NYK -5.7%

CHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.4	106.7	114.6	104.1
season	16.2	16.6		107.9	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.6	16.3	15.4	14.9	16.7	15.4
CHI	17.3	13.7	13.3	16.6	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	47	48	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.06	11	-18	29	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Iman Shumpert	49	51	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.31	19	-26	45	14.9	15.9	-1.01	16.8	13.8	2.92
Chris Copeland	56	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	15.2	15.7	-0.47	16.4	14.0	2.38
Carmelo Anthony	89	88	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.2	16.9	-1.68	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Steve Novak	25	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	2	-11	16.3	15.2	1.12	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Raymond Felton	97	95	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	1	-9	15.4	15.4	0.00	15.3	15.2	0.04
Jason Kidd	72	70	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.26	-21	14	-35	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.3	15.4	-0.11
J.R. Smith	85	83	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.08	-32	25	-57	15.9	13.5	2.33	14.3	19.2	-4.85

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	63	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.36	17	-10	27	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.7	15.1	0.59
Carlos Boozer	89	91	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-2	11	15.8	12.0	3.81	15.5	14.9	0.58
Richard Hamilton	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-13	33	13.2	17.4	-4.16	16.0	14.8	1.21
Kirk Hinrich	98	99	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	1	5	15.3	15.0	0.31	15.4	16.4	-1.02
Jimmy Butler	98	99	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	6	-5	15.4	14.0	1.36	15.3	18.6	-3.33
Luol Deng	62	62	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	17.0	12.7	4.25	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Malcolm Thomas	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	0.0	15.4	-15.44	25.0	15.3	9.66
Marco Belinelli	51	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	15	-23	15.0	15.6	-0.54	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Marquis Teague	1	1	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	9	-11	0.0	15.4	-15.44	25.0	15.3	9.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.5,0.75,0.81,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.84,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	91.5%
POR 113, DET 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.72,0.5,0.55,0.72,0.9,1,1	90.1%
GSW 130, MIN 131	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.76,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.54,0.55,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	88.2%