NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	110		Excitement	7.9 [264]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	2.7 [536]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -17.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	20	65%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	8	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.09	-0.00	12	33%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	52%	-0.03	4	-0.14	9	44%	-0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.12	2	-0.08	9	78%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	17	47%	0.02	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	16	43%	0.01	2	-0.08	10	80%	0.06
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	8	56%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.3	15.7	27.5	1.0	44.3	144.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +67.8%

MIN -42.8%

LAC +14.5%

LAC +11.7%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	15.1	110.0	104.0	104.2
season	14.6	15.0		110.5	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		110.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.5	15.5	14.4	14.1	14.4
MIN	15.3	13.9	15.0	13.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	55	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	2	1	13.5	15.5	-2.03	13.6	15.1	-1.49
JJ Redick	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	14.9	10.7	4.11	14.8	10.6	4.20
Chris Paul	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-5	15	14.9	12.9	1.99	14.3	14.2	0.13
Jordan Hamilton	56	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-9	23	14.6	14.1	0.54	14.8	13.7	1.05
Glen Davis	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	8	-11	14.6	14.2	0.39	13.7	14.9	-1.16
DeAndre Jordan	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	-3	11	14.6	13.4	1.23	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Hedo Turkoglu	19	20	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-3	11	12.8	14.7	-1.89	14.7	14.2	0.58
Dahntay Jones	2	1	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	5	-5	0.5	14.7	-14.15	8.0	14.3	-6.35
CJ Wilcox	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	9.0	14.5	-5.54	12.7	14.3	-1.67
Spencer Hawes	48	50	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	10	-15	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.0	13.6	1.33
Jamal Crawford	24	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.19	-14	19	-33	13.5	14.6	-1.14	12.9	14.8	-1.89

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adreian Payne	50	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	15.0	13.6	1.45	13.4	15.3	-1.86
Kevin Garnett	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	13.8	14.6	-0.80	16.2	13.0	3.19
Zach LaVine	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	13.9	14.7	-0.84	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Gary Neal	84	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.7	12.0	2.75	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Gorgui Dieng	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.1	14.9	-0.76	14.7	13.0	1.73
Chase Budinger	24	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.1	0.83	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Andrew Wiggins	89	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	5	-15	14.0	16.2	-2.23	14.4	13.9	0.51
Ricky Rubio	83	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	14.1	15.1	-0.94	14.7	13.0	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	92.4%
MIA 91, CHA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.17,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0	92.3%
ORL 111, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0	92.3%