NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	5.7 [676]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +22.6%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	2.1 [146]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -16.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.02	-0.00	14	78%	0.21	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	3	-0.06	9	44%	-0.06
Markel Brown	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.08	-0.03	14	65%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	87%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	4	120%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	16	34%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	34.7	16.8	28.2	2.4	33.4	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +44.9%

DAL -7.8%

BKN +11.6%

BKN +0.3%

BKN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.1	109.5	100.0	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		102.9	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.6	14.6	14.8	18.8	15.4
DAL	17.1	13.6	15.2	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	67	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.09	24	-14	38	15.4	15.3	0.08	15.9	13.1	2.72
Mason Plumlee	62	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-8	26	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.0	13.3	2.70
Joe Johnson	71	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.13	14	-4	18	15.7	14.6	1.08	15.4	14.2	1.12
Alan Anderson	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-3	16	14.7	16.7	-2.05	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Markel Brown	42	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-1	12	14.0	16.5	-2.49	16.4	14.0	2.40
Thaddeus Young	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	10	-10	16.4	13.9	2.40	14.4	16.2	-1.82
Jarrett Jack	61	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	13	-16	16.1	14.0	2.12	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Brook Lopez	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	21	-32	15.7	15.3	0.38	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	24	23	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.14	-16	26	-42	15.4	15.4	-0.02	12.7	15.8	-3.11

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	53	55	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-24	38	13.5	17.1	-3.66	16.9	13.3	3.61
Bernard James	9	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-12	14	15.7	15.0	0.64	15.7	15.3	0.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-13	16	14.0	15.8	-1.87	16.4	14.7	1.72
Charlie Villanueva	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-11	12	13.6	15.8	-2.23	16.3	15.0	1.29
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-8	6	15.2	14.9	0.29	16.1	14.8	1.29
Jose Juan Barea	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-3	-4	16.6	13.8	2.83	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Dirk Nowitzki	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.9	13.6	2.23	14.6	16.8	-2.23
Richard Jefferson	59	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	4	-18	15.2	14.9	0.27	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Rajon Rondo	54	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.06	-22	12	-34	15.9	13.9	1.98	14.7	16.3	-1.55
Monta Ellis	74	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.09	-18	8	-26	15.0	15.3	-0.34	15.4	15.2	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NYK 73, UTA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CLE 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%