NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	4.8 [871]		MVP	Gerald Green (MIA): +17.9%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	2.2 [584]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -10.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.04	0.02	14	76%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	46%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	13	39%	-0.08	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	33.2	16.4	24.6	2.5	25.4	133.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.8%

MIA +22.1%

MIA +2.0%

NYK -8.1%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	14.9	106.6	85.7	105.1
season	15.5	15.6		104.5	103.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.0	16.1	15.0	17.5	15.9
NYK	15.0	15.2	16.3	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	2	15	15.2	16.9	-1.67	16.3	15.0	1.29
Dwyane Wade	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	7	5	15.6	16.3	-0.74	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Gerald Green	50	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	2	15	15.8	16.0	-0.17	15.8	15.8	0.04
Hassan Whiteside	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	5	9	16.4	14.9	1.42	16.4	14.8	1.54
Josh McRoberts	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	5	9	15.5	16.2	-0.78	17.1	14.6	2.42
Chris Bosh	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	11	-3	15.2	17.3	-2.06	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Justise Winslow	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.14	12	7	5	16.3	14.7	1.64	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Josh Richardson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	21.7	15.7	6.01	9.0	16.0	-7.02
Tyler Johnson	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	17	-15	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.9	15.7	0.19
Udonis Haslem	13	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	20	-21	16.7	15.7	0.97	13.1	16.4	-3.24
Beno Udrih	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	20	-21	18.1	15.7	2.48	13.1	16.0	-2.87

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	23	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-18	17	15.7	15.8	-0.07	17.0	15.4	1.62
Lou Amundson	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-20	21	17.0	15.7	1.34	17.4	15.7	1.76
Jerian Grant	44	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-16	13	14.6	16.9	-2.24	16.0	15.7	0.29
Kristaps Porzingis	44	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-13	7	15.7	15.9	-0.17	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Derrick Williams	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-13	7	15.4	16.1	-0.70	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Langston Galloway	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-12	5	15.7	15.9	-0.27	16.9	14.4	2.54
Lance Thomas	27	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-12	5	15.1	16.1	-0.97	14.7	16.3	-1.57
Kyle O'Quinn	38	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-13	7	15.8	15.8	-0.00	16.5	15.4	1.07
Kevin Seraphin	34	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-10	1	15.1	16.2	-1.03	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	38	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-7	-5	15.9	15.7	0.27	14.4	16.9	-2.54
Jose Calderon	47	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-3	-13	16.9	14.6	2.24	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Carmelo Anthony	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.14	-23	4	-27	16.6	14.0	2.60	15.4	17.1	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 96, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIA 114, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%