NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	5.0 [801]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (CLE): +6.7%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	1.7 [468]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -17.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	5	38%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	74%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	25	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	12	64%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
David Vanterpool	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	5	64%	0.03	6	-0.15	12	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	16	28%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.2	15.6	27.1	2.4	31.6	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.1%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.5	110.4	103.2	100.9
season	15.3	15.2		98.4	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	14.0	15.1	16.1	15.2
WAS	14.0	15.3	17.6	13.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-1	10	15.3	15.0	0.23	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Andre Miller	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-2	12	15.1	15.3	-0.22	16.5	12.9	3.57
Wesley Person	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-1	10	15.2	15.1	0.13	15.7	14.3	1.45
Matt Harpring	35	33	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	15.3	15.1	0.23	16.7	14.1	2.62
Chris Mihm	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-3	14	15.8	14.7	1.03	15.9	14.3	1.52
Anthony Johnson	30	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	7	-6	15.4	15.0	0.39	12.6	16.1	-3.54
Lamond Murray	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	7	-6	14.8	16.2	-1.39	14.4	16.9	-2.48
Robert Traylor	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	9	-10	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Trajan Langdon	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	11	-14	15.6	14.9	0.73	13.8	15.8	-2.07
Chris Gatling	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	11	-14	14.6	15.5	-0.89	15.1	14.9	0.10
Bimbo Coles	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	14.9	15.2	-0.29	14.0	15.1	-1.11

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	32	33	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-15	22	13.2	15.9	-2.62	14.6	15.5	-0.85
Loy Vaught	35	34	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.08	3	-11	14	13.9	15.6	-1.70	15.3	15.1	0.15
Mike Smith	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	10.0	15.4	-5.45	14.6	15.2	-0.67
Tyrone Nesby	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.0	15.3	-0.26
David Vanterpool	38	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-14	20	13.3	16.1	-2.75	15.6	14.9	0.69
Richard Hamilton	52	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.3	1.26	15.4	14.9	0.44
Michael Smith	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	16.3	13.6	2.63	15.4	14.9	0.49
Laron Profit	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	4	-16	15.9	13.4	2.41	15.1	15.3	-0.27
Courtney Alexander	83	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	6	-20	15.2	13.7	1.51	15.1	15.9	-0.86
Christian Laettner	74	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	10	-28	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.2	15.0	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, POR 82	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 97, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%