NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.4 [762]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -23.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	15	65%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	11	41%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Nick Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	17	54%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	13	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.08	-0.03	12	31%	-0.10	5	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	15	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	8	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	26	46%	-0.09
Hedo Turkoglu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	14	37%	-0.03	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.0	35.2	16.4	31.0	2.6	39.5	152.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.1%

LAC +0.2%

LAC +9.9%

LAC +4.5%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.1	15.1	95.0	108.9	104.2
season	14.3	14.6		105.6	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	12.7	15.9	14.1	14.5
LAC	13.8	15.0	13.5	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kostas Papanikolaou	40	42	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.16	11	-26	37	13.5	15.2	-1.78	15.7	13.0	2.73
Nick Johnson	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	15.0	14.5	0.47	28.0	13.7	14.31
Isaiah Canaan	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	15.0	14.5	0.47	28.0	13.7	14.31
Clint Capela	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	15.0	14.5	0.47	28.0	13.7	14.31
Patrick Beverley	68	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-11	7	15.4	12.7	2.63	12.4	17.9	-5.46
Corey Brewer	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-6	-3	11.9	17.9	-6.06	13.2	15.3	-2.07
Joey Dorsey	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-2	-11	17.9	13.4	4.45	13.2	14.4	-1.14
James Harden	75	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	14.9	13.5	1.36	13.0	17.7	-4.65
Josh Smith	66	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-9	3	13.8	16.0	-2.26	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Jason Terry	33	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	12.2	15.7	-3.56	14.9	13.8	1.15
Donatas Motiejunas	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	-2	-11	16.1	12.9	3.22	16.3	12.0	4.36
Trevor Ariza	77	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.16	-15	0	-15	15.5	11.5	3.98	14.0	14.5	-0.55

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	76	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-5	25	14.0	14.4	-0.32	15.2	12.4	2.79
Glen Davis	37	36	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	5	5	13.5	14.5	-0.91	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Jamal Crawford	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	3	9	13.7	15.1	-1.44	13.3	17.4	-4.09
DeAndre Jordan	89	89	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	2	11	14.1	14.1	0.04	14.9	11.5	3.47
Matt Barnes	77	76	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	6	3	13.6	15.8	-2.19	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Chris Paul	80	79	0.17	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	6	3	13.0	18.2	-5.20	14.8	13.4	1.41
Austin Rivers	30	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	15	-15	16.5	13.1	3.34	12.8	15.3	-2.46
Hedo Turkoglu	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	13	-11	15.9	13.9	1.98	12.2	14.8	-2.60
Spencer Hawes	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	15	-15	16.9	12.7	4.19	16.8	13.3	3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
MEM 95, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIA 85, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%