NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	6.0 [618]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +20.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.4 [1069]		LVP	Christian Laettner (WAS): -11.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Popeye Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.00	-0.03	0.05	10	54%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	34	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	10	71%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	83%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.6	17.4	28.9	2.0	32.2	134.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +57.5%

MIN +2.4%

WAS -15.2%

MIN +5.3%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	19.0	13.9	15.6	116.1	119.3	102.3
season	16.5	15.0		102.2	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.3		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	22.4	16.9	19.2	17.9	19.0
MIN	13.6	14.4	13.5	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	0.0	19.0	-19.00	6.0	14.0	-8.03
Tyronn Lue	29	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-9	14	16.9	20.0	-3.10	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Christian Laettner	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	16.5	20.8	-4.26	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Jahidi White	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-3	2	19.5	18.3	1.27	14.0	13.8	0.22
Tyrone Nesby	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	0	-4	18.6	19.2	-0.62	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Hubert Davis	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-6	8	18.8	19.8	-1.08	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Brendan Haywood	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	3	-10	19.3	18.9	0.44	15.2	13.4	1.83
Michael Jordan	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-6	8	19.5	16.9	2.53	14.4	12.0	2.44
Popeye Jones	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	4	-12	21.0	16.4	4.61	14.5	13.2	1.21
Chris Whitney	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	4	-12	19.2	17.9	1.25	13.7	15.2	-1.51

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-7	18	14.8	12.1	2.75	19.7	17.5	2.16
Kevin Garnett	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	4	-4	14.2	12.9	1.33	19.4	17.4	2.03
Terrell Brandon	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	13.9	14.0	-0.11	17.5	20.6	-3.08
Anthony Peeler	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	13.5	14.9	-1.36	17.7	21.9	-4.19
Wally Szczerbiak	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-2	8	13.5	15.5	-2.01	19.7	16.3	3.36
Rasho Nesterovic	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	6	-8	14.3	13.3	1.03	19.5	18.0	1.45
Loren Woods	9	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	-4	12	12.0	14.2	-2.16	16.9	19.3	-2.37
Chauncey Billups	44	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	2	0	13.8	14.1	-0.25	20.4	17.7	2.71
Sam Mitchell	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	1	2	13.4	14.0	-0.66	17.8	19.2	-1.35
Felipe Lopez	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	11.3	14.2	-2.89	14.0	19.4	-5.37
Dean Garrett	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	20.5	13.6	6.87	20.2	18.9	1.31
Maurice Evans	1	0	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	6	-8	4.0	14.1	-10.06	0.0	19.0	-19.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
NOH 81, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIN 102, CHA 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%