NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	3.1 [1153]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +20.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Comeback	1.4 [1287]		LVP	Robert Sacre (LAL): -10.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.06	10	43%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	7	89%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	48%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	14	54%	0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	61%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	0.07	14	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.01	0.05	18	78%	0.21	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.24	-0.00	0.14	14	87%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.01	-0.09	13	46%	0.08	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.05	6	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	28.2	16.3	28.5	2.7	26.2	129.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +59.5%

LAL -6.2%

LAL -5.3%

LAL -0.7%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	13.3	15.1	109.4	121.2	104.2
season	15.5	15.9		101.9	108.7
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	20.4	15.0	15.3	16.3
CLE	11.7	12.3	15.0	14.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-22	29	14.8	17.5	-2.75	14.6	12.2	2.31
Jeremy Lin	41	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-13	11	16.7	16.1	0.61	12.8	13.6	-0.78
Ed Davis	47	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-15	15	15.9	16.8	-0.90	12.9	13.6	-0.72
Carlos Boozer	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.24	-16	1	-17	17.4	15.8	1.60	12.4	13.7	-1.30
Nick Young	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	17.0	15.7	1.30	12.5	13.9	-1.32
Tarik Black	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.41	13.3	13.2	0.10
Wesley Johnson	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-7	-1	16.5	16.1	0.32	12.8	14.0	-1.17
Robert Sacre	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	0	-15	16.8	15.9	0.90	13.6	12.9	0.72
Wayne Ellington	59	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-4	-7	16.4	16.2	0.15	13.7	12.5	1.26
Jordan Clarkson	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	16.1	16.7	-0.61	13.6	12.8	0.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-5	25	12.9	13.7	-0.79	16.5	16.1	0.46
Kyrie Irving	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.29	25	-10	35	13.3	13.2	0.03	16.7	15.6	1.11
LeBron James	63	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	0	15	12.9	13.8	-0.91	16.5	16.1	0.40
Kevin Love	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.31	23	-8	31	13.0	14.0	-1.04	16.9	14.9	2.06
J.R. Smith	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	-2	19	13.7	12.4	1.31	16.5	16.0	0.42
Iman Shumpert	61	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	13	-11	13.0	13.6	-0.62	16.2	16.6	-0.45
Tristan Thompson	59	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	20	-25	13.7	12.5	1.18	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Matthew Dellavedova	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	23	-31	13.3	13.2	0.13	15.9	16.5	-0.59
James Jones	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	14.6	13.1	1.43	14.1	16.6	-2.45
Joe Harris	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	13.7	13.2	0.54	13.7	16.5	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, TOR 121	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 67, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%