inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 72 Excitement2.6 [1212] MVPDevin Brown (SAS): +6.4%
San Antonio Spurs 94 Comeback1.3 [995] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -9.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Mitchell Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0000.00450%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.110.01-0.091939%-0.012-0.01650%-0.00
Larry Hughes-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00660%0.012-0.033100%0.01
Juan Dixon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01550%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.081033%-0.022-0.01450%-0.00
Steve Blake-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03828%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.07537%-0.023-0.04633%-0.02
Christian Laettner-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.01812%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.01730%-0.071-0.02667%-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01-0.05771%0.063-0.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.031167%0.0600.002100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.01-0.061747%0.052-0.0100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00671%0.041-0.01250%-0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01379%0.021-0.01887%0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Alex Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02437%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041258%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.03654%0.043-0.061100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.323.516.729.22.728.4126.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +41.8%
SAS +3.1%
SAS +1.8%
SAS +2.5%
SAS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSASNBAWASSASNBA
this game16.015.015.778.3100.0100.5
season15.215.996.4100.1
opponent15.815.392.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.017.814.614.816.0
SAS14.515.016.014.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler10110.00-0.500.50-0.124-263013.016.3-3.3318.114.63.49
Juan Dixon3839-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-191615.216.5-1.2915.015.0-0.02
Brendan Haywood4144-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-242614.517.2-2.6715.714.41.30
Steve Blake4848-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-15815.816.1-0.3215.015.1-0.11
Kwame Brown4242-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-14616.715.41.2915.214.90.33
Etan Thomas4543-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-4-1416.915.11.7613.916.0-2.08
Jarvis Hayes3839-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-12217.115.21.9416.613.92.66
Jared Jeffries5052-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-8-615.416.7-1.2914.915.2-0.33
Larry Hughes4446-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-15-7-816.115.80.3215.115.00.11
Christian Laettner4243-0.41-0.09-0.330.17-20-2-1817.015.11.8114.315.6-1.39
Gilbert Arenas6263-0.48-0.02-0.470.13-21-1-2015.916.2-0.3014.316.4-2.10

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan71700.55-0.050.61-0.2126-43015.015.00.0716.713.73.00
Ron Mercer45450.380.120.26-0.202021815.114.90.1917.015.01.98
Tony Parker50490.300.200.090.03913-415.814.21.6015.916.0-0.06
Bruce Bowen44420.280.220.070.02913-415.214.90.2815.816.1-0.33
Rasho Nesterovic53510.270.230.04-0.051111014.515.7-1.1515.616.4-0.76
Jason Hart44430.200.30-0.09-0.24157814.215.8-1.6016.015.90.06
Hedo Turkoglu50490.190.31-0.13-0.05814-614.915.1-0.2415.716.3-0.67
Devin Brown38380.150.35-0.20-0.11913-414.015.7-1.7416.215.80.32
Robert Horry18190.140.36-0.22-0.06715-814.215.2-1.0418.415.33.03
Malik Rose35340.040.46-0.43-0.08418-1415.214.90.3014.516.8-2.28
Kevin Willis11100.000.50-0.500.12-426-3018.114.63.4913.016.3-3.33
Alex Garcia11100.000.50-0.500.12-426-3018.114.63.4913.016.3-3.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 77, IND 980.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHA 93, ATL 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
VAN 80, UTA 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%