NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	2.6 [1005]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +13.8%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	1.1 [727]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -6.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	12	38%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	14	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	15	64%	0.06	5	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.03	17	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.01	0.08	9	77%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	63%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	13	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	7	86%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	29.3	15.7	23.2	1.7	26.3	121.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.0%

ATL +11.0%

ATL +0.1%

ATL +11.4%

CHA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	14.3	15.6	101.1	130.4	102.8
season	16.3	15.7		94.1	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.0		99.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.5	16.6	16.4	17.7	17.0
ATL	14.6	15.4	12.9	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-21	15	16.4	17.5	-1.10	14.4	14.2	0.24
Tyrus Thomas	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-22	17	17.9	16.9	1.03	15.2	14.1	1.02
D.J. Augustin	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-22	17	18.2	16.7	1.51	14.5	14.2	0.28
DJ White	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-22	17	15.7	17.3	-1.62	14.1	14.3	-0.27
Byron Mullens	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-20	13	17.5	16.6	0.96	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Eduardo Najera	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-10	-7	16.8	17.2	-0.40	15.5	13.6	1.93
Gerald Henderson	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.36	-20	-7	-13	16.4	18.0	-1.60	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Derrick Brown	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-10	-7	17.5	16.4	1.10	14.6	13.8	0.85
Bismack Biyombo	54	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-17	7	17.0	17.1	-0.14	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Kemba Walker	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	-14	1	16.1	19.1	-3.01	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Reggie Williams	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.40	-30	3	-33	18.1	14.5	3.60	14.3	14.2	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	50	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	11	5	14.0	14.6	-0.62	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Kirk Hinrich	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	11	5	13.4	15.1	-1.70	16.7	17.3	-0.61
Josh Smith	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	13	1	14.1	14.6	-0.49	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Jeff Teague	58	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	16	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.72	16.6	17.8	-1.24
Ivan Johnson	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.27	18	9	9	15.4	13.6	1.74	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Zaza Pachulia	47	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	17	-7	13.6	15.0	-1.45	17.7	16.3	1.35
Marvin Williams	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.26	15	12	3	15.1	13.7	1.45	18.4	16.0	2.43
Willie Green	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.22	13	14	-1	14.6	14.0	0.68	17.1	16.9	0.22
Tracy McGrady	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	14	-1	14.6	14.1	0.49	17.1	16.9	0.18
Jannero Pargo	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	16	-5	15.1	13.9	1.25	17.7	16.7	0.98
Jerry Stackhouse	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.4	17.4	-3.02
Jason Collins	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.4	17.4	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 64, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 102, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%