NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	80		Excitement	3.1 [1123]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +7.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.4 [1139]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -9.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	72%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Lee Mayberry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.03	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	17	62%	0.05	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.19	0.01	-0.16	9	12%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	17%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	59.1	1.8	29.0	14.8	23.0	1.8	22.0	151.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.3%

UTA +11.0%

UTA +9.8%

UTA +11.3%

VAN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	UTA	NBA	VAN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.6	88.9	107.7	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		102.1	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.0	15.2	16.3	15.5	15.7
UTA	16.7	14.8	15.7	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	39	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-19	20	15.7	15.8	-0.09	16.8	15.5	1.29
Sam Mack	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-21	24	15.5	15.8	-0.32	17.2	15.7	1.52
Tony Massenburg	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.18	5	-23	28	15.5	15.9	-0.41	18.0	15.0	2.97
Ivano Newbill	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-16	14	16.3	15.5	0.79	16.1	16.0	0.10
George Lynch	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-18	18	15.4	16.0	-0.51	16.7	15.7	1.01
Pete Chilcutt	21	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.4	15.6	0.83	16.5	15.9	0.56
Antonio Daniels	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-4	-10	14.9	17.2	-2.27	16.6	15.2	1.31
Lee Mayberry	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-14	10	17.2	14.9	2.27	15.2	16.6	-1.31
Anthony Peeler	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-4	-10	15.0	16.4	-1.37	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	0	-18	15.8	15.6	0.20	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Blue Edwards	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-4	-10	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Otis Thorpe	57	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	5	-28	15.9	15.5	0.41	15.0	18.0	-2.97

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	49	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	3	12	15.6	16.7	-1.14	16.0	15.5	0.52
Greg Ostertag	49	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	3	12	15.6	16.7	-1.14	16.0	15.5	0.52
Karl Malone	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	5	8	15.6	17.1	-1.53	15.8	15.5	0.32
Jeff Hornacek	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.10	13	5	8	15.6	16.7	-1.11	15.5	16.1	-0.66
Howard Eisley	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	1	16	16.2	15.8	0.40	15.0	16.9	-1.82
Jacque Vaughn	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	17	-16	15.8	16.2	-0.40	16.9	15.0	1.82
Shandon Anderson	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	13	-8	16.7	15.6	1.11	16.1	15.5	0.66
Antoine Carr	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	13	-8	17.1	15.6	1.53	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Greg Foster	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	15	-12	16.7	15.6	1.14	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Adam Keefe	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	15	-12	16.7	15.6	1.14	15.5	16.0	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
BOS 77, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIA 102, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%