inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement2.7 [1244] MVPCharlie Villanueva (TOR): +13.7%
Toronto Raptors 121 Comeback1.2 [1105] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -6.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Kasun0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01671%0.0600.002100%0.00
Tony Battie0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01580%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terence Morris-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Francis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01750%0.032-0.056100%0.02
Jameer Nelson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.180.000.211594%0.066-0.083100%-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.02750%-0.021-0.01887%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.010.04855%0.002-0.056100%0.01
Pat Garrity-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.01-0.0650%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.010.04862%0.013-0.0700%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.190.020.071383%0.161-0.023100%0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.000.04965%0.0600.00580%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.013100%0.061-0.011100%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011071%0.094-0.07475%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.000.08681%0.041-0.02475%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02762%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00658%0.022-0.02757%-0.02
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04280%0.0000.0010%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.000.07771%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00433%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.028.316.628.22.525.6128.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +26.9%
TOR +0.3%
TOR +9.8%
TOR +9.9%
TOR +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game15.516.315.6106.6134.4104.4
season16.415.6104.4107.3
opponent15.415.7110.5105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.714.618.414.615.5
TOR16.713.616.718.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terence Morris14150.01-0.510.51-0.238-324016.215.40.8619.815.74.15
Travis Diener780.00-0.500.500.000-242416.015.40.5618.416.12.23
Stacey Augmon1714-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-201612.716.1-3.4215.016.6-1.59
Mario Kasun3635-0.09-0.410.310.17-9-15614.416.2-1.8617.115.91.17
Jameer Nelson5552-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-191414.616.9-2.3317.414.92.51
Pat Garrity3936-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-11-213.816.8-3.0016.316.4-0.06
Tony Battie4747-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-10-416.614.32.2116.116.6-0.50
Dwight Howard5455-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-12016.514.02.5015.917.1-1.17
DeShawn Stevenson7069-0.44-0.06-0.370.44-306-3615.615.00.5715.718.4-2.72
Steve Francis5252-0.44-0.06-0.380.00-15-9-616.514.22.3315.717.2-1.45
Hedo Turkoglu6467-0.44-0.06-0.380.32-262-2815.914.61.3216.117.0-0.94

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike James48490.410.090.31-0.091771015.916.9-0.9616.514.32.27
Morris Peterson65660.380.120.25-0.09168816.815.21.5315.714.80.94
Charlie Villanueva55560.380.120.25-0.181951415.817.1-1.3114.317.4-3.07
Matt Bonner60600.360.140.210.031113-216.416.30.0714.018.3-4.21
Joey Graham47480.320.180.14-0.031212016.116.6-0.5016.514.42.11
Jalen Rose35360.180.32-0.14-0.171212016.216.4-0.2414.116.4-2.36
Eric Williams25250.120.38-0.25-0.11816-815.216.8-1.5314.815.7-0.94
Rafael Araujo32320.120.38-0.26-0.11816-815.916.6-0.7317.514.43.16
Chris Bosh24250.110.39-0.28-0.04519-1417.416.01.4619.114.15.01
Darrick Martin42420.090.41-0.31-0.11717-1016.915.90.9614.316.5-2.27
Aaron Williams880.040.46-0.42-0.05321-1818.416.12.2314.115.6-1.49
Loren Woods980.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2018.116.11.9616.715.41.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 67, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
UTA 74, GSW 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
LAL 105, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%