NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	4.1 [983]		MVP	Trevor Booker (UTA): +14.9%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.1 [266]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -8.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.03	22	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	0.00	0.14	8	94%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	11	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	16	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	20	54%	0.05	3	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.1	15.3	25.7	2.3	31.9	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.9%

GSW -0.5%

UTA +22.8%

GSW -0.4%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	12.9	15.9	15.1	101.0	108.9	104.2
season	13.6	16.2		109.2	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.7	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	14.7	12.4	11.8	12.9
UTA	16.4	16.6	14.3	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	22	24	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.25	11	-21	32	10.7	13.6	-2.88	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Marreese Speights	39	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-17	24	11.8	13.6	-1.81	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Andre Iguodala	43	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-13	16	12.6	13.1	-0.51	16.5	15.3	1.15
Leandro Barbosa	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	11.5	13.6	-2.08	14.5	16.5	-2.02
Draymond Green	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-2	-6	12.4	13.4	-0.97	17.1	14.7	2.39
Shaun Livingston	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-8	6	12.8	13.0	-0.16	17.4	14.8	2.56
David Lee	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-8	6	13.3	12.4	0.90	15.1	16.8	-1.71
Stephen Curry	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	1	-12	13.4	11.8	1.59	15.2	17.5	-2.30
Harrison Barnes	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	6	-22	13.3	12.7	0.60	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Andrew Bogut	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	7	-24	14.5	11.6	2.88	16.7	15.1	1.63
Klay Thompson	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	6	-22	13.5	11.9	1.55	16.7	14.5	2.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-5	20	15.9	15.8	0.03	13.6	12.5	1.11
Dante Exum	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	-9	28	15.9	15.8	0.13	14.0	11.9	2.10
Elijah Millsap	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	0	10	14.7	16.9	-2.19	13.9	12.1	1.74
Gordon Hayward	81	80	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	6	-2	15.7	16.6	-0.93	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Trey Burke	72	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	11	-12	16.3	14.7	1.68	12.8	13.1	-0.26
Trevor Booker	47	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	11	-12	14.9	16.7	-1.87	12.6	13.2	-0.66
Rudy Gobert	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	17.2	14.7	2.47	14.1	11.9	2.22
Joe Ingles	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	10	-10	16.4	15.2	1.27	11.9	14.2	-2.40
Derrick Favors	69	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	11	-12	15.6	16.3	-0.72	12.0	14.9	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 76, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
VAN 89, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 80, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%