NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	8.0 [255]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +43.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	11.4 [326]		LVP	JJ Hickson (DEN): -19.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	12	63%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.01	7	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.01	9	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.10	-0.11	0.00	13	69%	0.09	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Jameer Nelson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	18	47%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.2,-0.2	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.43	0.43	0.10	0.34	-0.00	14	62%	0.50	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.01	11	75%	0.33	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	10	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	17	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	26.1	15.4	28.4	2.5	37.3	134.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +47.2%

LAC +23.4%

DEN -10.5%

DEN -6.9%

DEN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.1	105.4	112.1	104.2
season	14.6	14.6		103.4	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	16.2	14.7	16.6	15.7
LAC	14.8	13.8	18.7	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	54	54	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.08	14	-18	32	15.4	16.1	-0.63	17.0	13.6	3.41
Randy Foye	12	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	17.8	15.4	2.46	15.8	15.6	0.27
Alonzo Gee	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-2	0	0.0	15.9	-15.86	0.0	15.6	-15.62
Jameer Nelson	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	3	-10	17.0	15.2	1.77	15.8	15.5	0.31
Danilo Gallinari	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.25	-13	9	-22	16.5	15.2	1.28	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Kenneth Faried	60	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	15.1	16.8	-1.75	15.9	15.2	0.65
Darrell Arthur	35	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	3	-10	16.3	15.3	1.05	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Ty Lawson	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-9	14	15.5	16.3	-0.86	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Arron Afflalo	73	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-4	4	15.4	16.8	-1.48	15.4	16.4	-1.06
JJ Hickson	34	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	7	-18	17.4	14.7	2.72	13.7	16.7	-2.96
Wilson Chandler	68	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.57	-1	-3	2	14.8	18.1	-3.33	15.6	15.6	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	62	64	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.59	2	2	0	16.2	14.4	1.71	15.5	16.2	-0.75
Chris Paul	65	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.58	2	2	0	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Jamal Crawford	58	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.34	10	-6	16	15.0	16.6	-1.60	16.0	15.2	0.81
Blake Griffin	65	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	0	4	15.6	15.7	-0.05	15.0	17.4	-2.40
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	5	-6	15.5	16.0	-0.59	15.6	16.0	-0.49
Glen Davis	19	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	-1	6	16.2	15.5	0.69	17.4	15.2	2.18
JJ Redick	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	7	-10	15.4	15.8	-0.40	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Hedo Turkoglu	26	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.20	2	2	0	15.5	15.6	-0.11	16.0	15.6	0.43
Austin Rivers	26	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.20	2	2	0	15.5	15.6	-0.11	16.0	15.6	0.43
Spencer Hawes	31	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	7	-10	16.0	15.4	0.58	16.8	15.1	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.26,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.63,0.67,1,1	91.4%
BOS 85, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.74,1	91.1%
WAS 105, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.91,1	90.7%